Welcome back to the fun and frivolity that is the National Football League!
With one week left of full football action, a certain sadness enters my heart, as I know that soon, we will soon enter the great sports abyss known as "summer". Enjoy this week as much as you can. Especially, if your favorite team is not making a push into the playoffs. (Stupid Vikings).
From a Fantasy Football perspective, Week 17 should find you with your feet kicked up, championship in hand, with nothing to do but enjoy your favorite team and/or beverage. However, I am sure there are a few silly leagues out there that have to have their championship settled this week. Those games are always thrilling. Teams normally led by studs like LaDanian Tomlinson, and Peyton Manning, starting Fantasy duds like Jeff Garcia and Ron Dayne. This is the reason that many leagues settle their championships on week 16. Week 17 has been notorious for the top NFL teams to sit Fantasy Stalwarts, or play them for such limited time, that it is not worth inserting them into your fantasy lineup.
In my keeper league, I made this mistake for one year. I was a proud Commish, telling the players that made it the finals, you are that good- find a way to one more. Which just isn't fair. The other side of this, is the pure scheduling benefits you can use for a week 16 championship. In my big keeper league, we have 12 teams, 3 divisions. We have 14 weeks of games, this breaks down to playing everyone once, and your division twice. The three division winners go to the playoffs with one Wild Card, which for three years, has been a hotly contested race. It's great fun. Just to keep things interesting, the last 8 teams that didn't make the championship playoffs, get to fight it out in a 3 week playoff, that settles in week 17, but it doesn't change draft order or anything, so a week 17 title here is meaningless.
But to those that do have a week 17 Championship game this weekend, good luck! May you have Marc Bulger lead you to greatness this weekend.
Thursday, December 28, 2006
Friday, December 22, 2006
Merry Christmas!
I will be on vacation this weekend, and not necessarily near a computer enough to get to all the match-ups that I would like to do. I will still be checking email, so those of you that are checking in regularly and have questions, please don't hesitate to email me.
That said, I wish each of you that sees this a Merry Christmas, and a joyous holiday season, not least of which one that sees you winning your fantasy championship.
If you are in one of those silly leagues that plays in week 17, I should be back in time to break down those match-ups for you.
Happy Holidays.
Best wishes to you and yours.
That said, I wish each of you that sees this a Merry Christmas, and a joyous holiday season, not least of which one that sees you winning your fantasy championship.
If you are in one of those silly leagues that plays in week 17, I should be back in time to break down those match-ups for you.
Happy Holidays.
Best wishes to you and yours.
Thursday, December 21, 2006
Start Em Sit Em Thursday Night.
Thursday Night
Minnesota @ Green Bay
This game could be the last of Brett Favre, at Curly Lambeau Field. This game will also mark the first start for second round pick, rookie Tarvaris Jackson. Perhaps you've heard this story line on ANY of the major sports outlets.
Breaking this game down, from a fantasy perspective, is going to be extremely easy. Right now there is a huge winter storm brewing in the mid-west that could wreck havoc over Green Bay tonight. If that is the case, you sit down Favre and his receivers. Jackson and his receivers shouldn't be anywhere near your starting line up anyway. If this is the case, the only plays from this game would be Chester Taylor, and the the 2 team defenses. Why is Ahman Green not included in this? The Vikings have the best rush defense in the league, and with no passing game to worry about, the Vikings can stuff Green pretty well.
If there was ever a time to hop on Chester Taylor, and ride him to a Championship, this is the week to do it. The Packers have a weak rushing defense, and the Vikes have a strong offensive line that has figured out how to rush against everyone but a 3-4 defense. With a Rookie QB at the helm, they may try and run even more than before, to try and limit the chances he has to make a mistake, while giving him the confidence he needs to make plays in the NFL. Look for Taylor to put up big numbers this week, as his Rib injury seems to not be bothering him too much. If you are stretched for a running back this week, Mewelde Moore could be an interesting option as well. He is shifty and refuses to go down when he gets the ball. That screen he caught against the Jets last week was a thing of beauty.
Overall this is going to be an ugly ugly game that the Vikings should win. However, fantasy players will lose in, as there won't be many points to be harvested from.
Start Em
Chester Taylor, RB - MIN
Mewelde Moore, RB - MIN
Vikings Defense
Packers Defense
Sit Em
Brett Favre, QB - GB
Tarvaris Jackson, QB- MIN
Ahman Green, RB - GB
Travis Taylor, WR - MIN
Marcus Robinson, WR - MIN
Troy Williamson, WR - MIN
Donald Driver, WR - GB (If weather is BAD - If weather is ok, only offensive start on GB)
Greg Jennings, WR - GB
Jermaine Wiggins, TE - MIN
Bubba Franks, TE - GB
etc..
Good luck in your fantasy playoffs!
Minnesota @ Green Bay
This game could be the last of Brett Favre, at Curly Lambeau Field. This game will also mark the first start for second round pick, rookie Tarvaris Jackson. Perhaps you've heard this story line on ANY of the major sports outlets.
Breaking this game down, from a fantasy perspective, is going to be extremely easy. Right now there is a huge winter storm brewing in the mid-west that could wreck havoc over Green Bay tonight. If that is the case, you sit down Favre and his receivers. Jackson and his receivers shouldn't be anywhere near your starting line up anyway. If this is the case, the only plays from this game would be Chester Taylor, and the the 2 team defenses. Why is Ahman Green not included in this? The Vikings have the best rush defense in the league, and with no passing game to worry about, the Vikings can stuff Green pretty well.
If there was ever a time to hop on Chester Taylor, and ride him to a Championship, this is the week to do it. The Packers have a weak rushing defense, and the Vikes have a strong offensive line that has figured out how to rush against everyone but a 3-4 defense. With a Rookie QB at the helm, they may try and run even more than before, to try and limit the chances he has to make a mistake, while giving him the confidence he needs to make plays in the NFL. Look for Taylor to put up big numbers this week, as his Rib injury seems to not be bothering him too much. If you are stretched for a running back this week, Mewelde Moore could be an interesting option as well. He is shifty and refuses to go down when he gets the ball. That screen he caught against the Jets last week was a thing of beauty.
Overall this is going to be an ugly ugly game that the Vikings should win. However, fantasy players will lose in, as there won't be many points to be harvested from.
Start Em
Chester Taylor, RB - MIN
Mewelde Moore, RB - MIN
Vikings Defense
Packers Defense
Sit Em
Brett Favre, QB - GB
Tarvaris Jackson, QB- MIN
Ahman Green, RB - GB
Travis Taylor, WR - MIN
Marcus Robinson, WR - MIN
Troy Williamson, WR - MIN
Donald Driver, WR - GB (If weather is BAD - If weather is ok, only offensive start on GB)
Greg Jennings, WR - GB
Jermaine Wiggins, TE - MIN
Bubba Franks, TE - GB
etc..
Good luck in your fantasy playoffs!
Saturday, December 16, 2006
Start Em Sit Em Week 15 (Saturday/Sunday)
Saturday Night:
Dallas @ Atlanta
Start Em Dallas
M. Barber, RB
T. Glenn, WR
T. Owens, WR (?)
T. Romo, QB
Sit Em Dallas
J. Jones, RB
P. Crayton, WR
J. Witten, TE
In recent weeks three trends have taken place in Dallas. First, Tony Romo has come back to Earth after his rocket blast start. Second, Marion Barber has emerged as the best running back in the cowboys backfield. Lastly, Terrell Owens has developed a nice trend of dropping 3 balls a game. What does all this mean for fantasy owners in the playoffs? Marion Barber is a must start now against a soft Falcons rush defense, who have given up 11 rushing TDs this year. Julius Jones is a bench play this week, because as he showed last week, all he is good for is a home run shot. He can't be counted on to do anything with any consistency. Barber is a better bet to get yards and TDs, as he is even getting more carries in games lately. Romo has fallen back to Earth in recent weeks. Throwing 1 Td and 4 ints the last two games. He stays on the start side on potential alone, one more stinker and I'm benching him next week against the Eagles in a game with NFL playoff implications. The WRs are all shaky plays this week. Owens has been dropping a lot of balls lately. It's probably because he's worried about the snitch on the team ratting him out that he's not that good. Oh wait... Maybe the snitch is putting butter on his gloves before he leaves the locker room! Yea... that's the ticket. Either way, starting Owens is basically taking your playoff life in your hands this weekend. If you have safer options this week go with them.
Start Em Atlanta
M. Vick, QB
J. Griffin, RB (?) - Only if Dunn is OUT
W. Dunn, RB (?) - Questionable - Knee - Practiced Friday
A. Crumpler, TE
Sit Em Atlanta
J. Norwood, RB Doubtful- Leg
All WRs
Keep an eye on the active list before the game before starting Dunn, he is highly questionable to start tonight. If he is unable to go don't hesitate to start J. Griffin. He is a fullback that has some bruising skill that can keep Dallas off balance. Mike Vick makes a good play because he can always run for more 'TDs' than most QBs can throw for. Alge Crumpler is a must start in all leagues, as he is the best receiver on Atlanta. He has shown the ability to track down Vick's highly inaccurate passes the best of anyone. Unlike the Receivers, when Crumpler tracks down the ball, he can also hold on to it.
Last add, I'd just avoid the Atlanta running backs completely tonight, there is just too much confusion. You wouldn't want to get trapped in another Ciatrick Fason/Artrose Pinner situation in the playoffs. If you have a healthy option on another team, start them. They will be a better option anyway than anything against a firm Dallas rush defense at home.
Sundays Games:
Cle @ Bal
Start Em Cle
D. Northcutt, WR
K. Winslow, TE -Questionable - Knee (questionable Start)
B. Edwards, WR
Sit Em Cle
D. Andersen, QB
C. Frye, QB -Doubtful - Wrist
All Cleveland RB
Cleveland is going up against a very stiff Baltimore defense today, at Baltimore. Logic dictates that Cleveland shouldn't do anything in this game. But folks, this is the NFL. Baltimore's defense is the best in fantasy football against the run, and Cleveland doesn't have a running game. That is why you leave all your Cleveland RBs on the bench, if they are still on your roster. Baltimore's passing defense is also pretty sweet, but Andersen is still in his first 4 games of starting so he has some of that 'rookie mystique' to him, so his receivers might still put up some numbers. Edwards can do things after the catch so he makes a good play. All that said, on paper, Baltimore SHOULD dominate every facet of this game. That is why I'm picking the Browns as an upset of the day special.
Start Em Bal
S. McNair, QB
J. Lewis, RB
T. Heap, TE
M. Clayton, WR
Sit Em Bal
D. Mason, WR
The most notable thing about this game is that in recent weeks, Mark Clayton has passed Derrick Mason in everything but name only for the #1 WR on the team. Todd heap is still the first option, but Clayton has become the better deep threat on the team. Mason is also nursing a thigh injury, though he is listed as probable on the injury report. McNair makes a good play this week against a Browns defense that has allowed Trent Green to throw 4 TDs on them 2 weeks ago, and Ben Roethlesberger to throw 2 TDs last week. Jamal Lewis has a chance to shred the Browns defense this weekend as well. It was against the Browns that he set his record in 2003.
Det @ GB
Start Em Det
J. Kitna, QB
R. Williams, WR
M. Furrey, WR
Sit Em Det
M. Campbell, TE
K. Jones, RB OUT - Lis Franc - Career Ending???
A. Harris, RB
Super sneaky ninja pick
A. Cason, RB
I don't suggest using this if you have any chance of winning. This is mostly just to publish ahead of time, so that when he does go 'Artrose Pinner' on the bit, and rattle off 3 TDs against the Pack, that I can say HA HA! I told you so! This is mostly in response to Pinner, Karney, and Shipp in recent weeks sniping touchdowns from real fantasy players.
Mike Martz, the Mad Scientist has been great at throwing the rock around all year. This trend should continue this weekend against the weakest pass defense in the NFL. I don't think the Lions will run effectively enough though to warrant starting a RB now that Jones is out for the year. Furrey makes a great play as he has caught nine passes in each of the last 2 weeks.
Start Em GB
B. Favre, QB
D. Driver, WR
G. Jennings, WR
R. Martin, WR
A. Green, RB
Sit Em GB
B. Franks, TE
D, Martin, TE - Questionable, Ribs
If Minnesota can put up 30 on the Lions with their anemic offense, Brett Favre should be able to carve up the Motor City Kitties. Fantasy owners should ride their Packers to victory this weekend.
Hou @ NE
Start Em Hou
None
Sit Em Hou
A. Johnson, WR
D. Carr, QB
W. Lundy, RB
R. Dayne, RB
O. Daniels. TE
The Patriots lost last week 21-0 to the Dolphins. The Texans are just this side of terrible. The Patriots could be mad. The Patriots are at home. It's virtually impossible for the Patriots to lay two eggs in a row. If this game was in week 8 or something, I'd probably start Johnson. but in the Playoffs, I'm not taking a chance on Johnson. Just leave your Texans on the bench, if they catch fire so be it.
Start Em NE
T. Brady, QB
R. Caldwell, WR
C. Dillion, RB
Sit Em NE
L. Maroney, RB - OUT, Ribs
D. Gabriel, WR - Out, Cut.
B. Watson, TE - OUT, Belichick random injury.
D. Graham, TE - Questionable, Ankle, or Concussion.
C. Jackson, WR - Questionable, Talent
Jax @ Ten
Start Em Jax
M. Jones-Drew, RB
E. Wilford, WR
F. Taylor, RB
Sit Em Jax
D. Garrad, QB
G. Wrightster, TE
M. Jones, WR
Jacksonville proved last week against the Colts that their success under David Garrad lies on the ground. For this to happen Fraud Taylor and MoJo Drew need to be on the top of their game. Early in the week both of them had hamstring injuries, which really isn't a surprise considering all the running those two did. Both should be fine this week against the Titans. Speaking of the Titans, they really aren't as good as they are trying to be. They are playing inspired football right now, but the Jaguars have the talent on offense to stop that nonsense. Wilford is still the 'Go-Near' guy for Garrad, but if he is only going to throw 14 times a game, niether one makes a great play.
Start Em Ten
V. Young, QB
D. Bennett, WR
Sit Em Ten
B. Jones, WR
T. Henry, RB - Questionable, Ankle
C. Brown, RB - Questionable, Talent
B. Scaife, TE - Questionable, Ankle
Vince Young has the speed, quickness, and agility to break the ankles of his opponents. Looking at the injury report this week it looks like he's doing it in practice too. He is really the only play this week, because he is much like Mike Vick, talented enough to make plays with their feet. I wouldn't start the RBs because the Jacksonville front 7 is very good. D. Bennett is really the only WR worth playing this week.
Mia @ Buf
Start Em Mia
J. Harrington, QB
M. Booker, WR
W. Welker, WR
R. McMichael, TE
Sit Em Mia
C. Chambers, WR
S. Morris, RB
R. Brown, RB - Out hand
This is one of the hardest games to read this week. If this one were in Miami it would be much easier. The weather could be an issue in Buffalo, which would cause some concern for the Miami passing game. For some odd reason the most talented receiver on the team has been phased out. Chambers hasn't been productive at all this season, and therefore you can't trust him in your playoffs. Marty Booker has the hot hand, and is worthy of starting this week. Harrington has been surprisingly adequate this year. If the weather is an issue, Sammy Morris could be a good play this week. I'm still not going to trust my team to him though.
Start Em Buf
L. Evans, WR
Sit Em Buf
W. McGahee, RB
JP Losman, QB
R. Parrish, WR
R. Royal, TE
A. Thomas, RB
Buffalo has been an enigma as well this year. They have been as hard of a team to read as there is in the league, (save Carolina). Lee Evans is the only play I can claim this week because he is the focal point of the Bills offense. McGahee gets a lot of carries, but he could be shut down against a stiffling Miami defense. Jason Taylor has been an absolute beast as of late, and I don't see that changing any time soon. I don't expect fantastic numbers out of Evans, but there is a better chance than most that he could hit the home run, on any pass play, even if the weather is an issue.
NYJ @ Min
Start Em NYJ
C. Pennington, QB
L. Coles, WR
J. Cotcherty, WR
C. Baker, TE
Sit Em NYJ
All RBs
Start Em Min
C. Taylor, RB - Questionable, Ribs
Sit Em Min
M. Moore, RB
B. Johnson, QB
M. Robinson, WR -OUT Deactivated, Coaches Decision
T. Taylor, WR
J. Wiggins, TE
T. Williamson, WR
Pit @ Car
Start Em Pit
H. Ward, WR - Probable, Knee Surgery
N. Washington, WR
H. Miller, TE
Sit Em Pit
W. Parker, RB
B. Roethlesberger, QB
S. Holmes, WR
Start Em Car
S. Smith, WR
K. Johnson, WR
D. Foster, RB
Sit Em Car
C. Weinke, QB
J. Delhomme, QB - Doubtful - hand
D. Williams, RB
K. Magnum, TE
TB @ Chi
Start Em TB
None
Sit Em TB
C. Williams, RB
M. Alstott, RB
J. Galloway, WR
B. Gradkowski, QB
etc.
Start Em Chi
C. Benson, RB
B. Berrian, WR
M. Muhammad, WR
Sit Em Chi
T. Jones, RB - Questionable- hand
R. Grossman, QB
D. Clark, TE
Was @ NO
Start Em Was
S. Moss, WR
L. Betts, RB
C. Cooley, TE
Sit Em Was
J. Campbell, QB
A. Randel El, WR
Start Em NO
D. Brees, QB
R. Bush, RB
M. Colston, WR
D. Henderson, WR
Sit Em NO
M. Karney, RB
J. Horn, WR - OUT - Hammy
D. McAlister, RB
Den @ Ari
Start Em Den
T. Bell, RB
J. Walker, WR
T. Sheffler, TE
Sit Em Den
J. Cutler, QB
M. Bell, RB
R. Smith, WR
Start Em Ari
L. Fitzgerald, WR
Sit Em Ari
A. Boldin, WR
M. Leinart, QB
E. James, RB
M. Shipp, RB
L. Pope, TE
Other TE Guy
Phi @ NYG
Start Em Phi
J. Garcia, QB
B. Westbrook, RB
D. Stallworth, WR
LJ Smith, TE
Sit Em Phi
R. Brown, WR
Start Em NYG
E. Manning, QB
P. Burress, WR
J. Shockey, TE
T. Barber, RB
Sit Em NYG
T. Carter, WR
D. Tyree, WR
S. Moss, WR
B. Jacobs, RB
StL @ Oak
Start Em StL
S. Jackson, RB
M. Brunell, QB
T. Holt, WR
Sit Em StL
I. Bruce, WR
S. Davis, RB
K. Curtis, WR
Start Em Oak
(Here's a first... I'm advocating RAIDERS!!!)
J. Fargas, RB
Sit Em Oak
R. Curry, WR
R. Moss, WR
A. Brooks, QB
etc.
Yeah, Oakland is terrible, but St. Louis is a bit of a rushing sieve on defense, so Fargas can be a sneaky start. Assuming Oakland is smart enough to rush enough to make him worthy of starting. Just a side note, what was your favorite Randy Moss in Silver and Black moment? It looks as if his run in Oaktown is done.
KC @ SD
Start Em KC
L. Johnson, RBeast
T. Gonzalez, TE
Sit Em KC
T. Green, QB
E. Kennison, WR
S. Parker, WR
Start Em SD
L. Tomlinson, Record Breaking RBeast
A. Gates, TE
P. Rivers, QB
Sit Em SD
E. Parker, WR
K. McCardell, WR
Monday Night:
Cin @ Ind
Start Em Cin
C. Palmer, QB
C. Johnson, WR
R. Johnson, RB
TJ Houshmandzadeh, WR
Sit Em Cin
C. Henry, WR
TEs
Start Em Ind
P. Manning, QB
M. Harrison, WR
R. Wayne, WR
Sit Em Ind
J. Addai, RB
D. Rhodes, RB
D. Clark, TE
B. Utecht, TE
Dallas @ Atlanta
Start Em Dallas
M. Barber, RB
T. Glenn, WR
T. Owens, WR (?)
T. Romo, QB
Sit Em Dallas
J. Jones, RB
P. Crayton, WR
J. Witten, TE
In recent weeks three trends have taken place in Dallas. First, Tony Romo has come back to Earth after his rocket blast start. Second, Marion Barber has emerged as the best running back in the cowboys backfield. Lastly, Terrell Owens has developed a nice trend of dropping 3 balls a game. What does all this mean for fantasy owners in the playoffs? Marion Barber is a must start now against a soft Falcons rush defense, who have given up 11 rushing TDs this year. Julius Jones is a bench play this week, because as he showed last week, all he is good for is a home run shot. He can't be counted on to do anything with any consistency. Barber is a better bet to get yards and TDs, as he is even getting more carries in games lately. Romo has fallen back to Earth in recent weeks. Throwing 1 Td and 4 ints the last two games. He stays on the start side on potential alone, one more stinker and I'm benching him next week against the Eagles in a game with NFL playoff implications. The WRs are all shaky plays this week. Owens has been dropping a lot of balls lately. It's probably because he's worried about the snitch on the team ratting him out that he's not that good. Oh wait... Maybe the snitch is putting butter on his gloves before he leaves the locker room! Yea... that's the ticket. Either way, starting Owens is basically taking your playoff life in your hands this weekend. If you have safer options this week go with them.
Start Em Atlanta
M. Vick, QB
J. Griffin, RB (?) - Only if Dunn is OUT
W. Dunn, RB (?) - Questionable - Knee - Practiced Friday
A. Crumpler, TE
Sit Em Atlanta
J. Norwood, RB Doubtful- Leg
All WRs
Keep an eye on the active list before the game before starting Dunn, he is highly questionable to start tonight. If he is unable to go don't hesitate to start J. Griffin. He is a fullback that has some bruising skill that can keep Dallas off balance. Mike Vick makes a good play because he can always run for more 'TDs' than most QBs can throw for. Alge Crumpler is a must start in all leagues, as he is the best receiver on Atlanta. He has shown the ability to track down Vick's highly inaccurate passes the best of anyone. Unlike the Receivers, when Crumpler tracks down the ball, he can also hold on to it.
Last add, I'd just avoid the Atlanta running backs completely tonight, there is just too much confusion. You wouldn't want to get trapped in another Ciatrick Fason/Artrose Pinner situation in the playoffs. If you have a healthy option on another team, start them. They will be a better option anyway than anything against a firm Dallas rush defense at home.
Sundays Games:
Cle @ Bal
Start Em Cle
D. Northcutt, WR
K. Winslow, TE -Questionable - Knee (questionable Start)
B. Edwards, WR
Sit Em Cle
D. Andersen, QB
C. Frye, QB -Doubtful - Wrist
All Cleveland RB
Cleveland is going up against a very stiff Baltimore defense today, at Baltimore. Logic dictates that Cleveland shouldn't do anything in this game. But folks, this is the NFL. Baltimore's defense is the best in fantasy football against the run, and Cleveland doesn't have a running game. That is why you leave all your Cleveland RBs on the bench, if they are still on your roster. Baltimore's passing defense is also pretty sweet, but Andersen is still in his first 4 games of starting so he has some of that 'rookie mystique' to him, so his receivers might still put up some numbers. Edwards can do things after the catch so he makes a good play. All that said, on paper, Baltimore SHOULD dominate every facet of this game. That is why I'm picking the Browns as an upset of the day special.
Start Em Bal
S. McNair, QB
J. Lewis, RB
T. Heap, TE
M. Clayton, WR
Sit Em Bal
D. Mason, WR
The most notable thing about this game is that in recent weeks, Mark Clayton has passed Derrick Mason in everything but name only for the #1 WR on the team. Todd heap is still the first option, but Clayton has become the better deep threat on the team. Mason is also nursing a thigh injury, though he is listed as probable on the injury report. McNair makes a good play this week against a Browns defense that has allowed Trent Green to throw 4 TDs on them 2 weeks ago, and Ben Roethlesberger to throw 2 TDs last week. Jamal Lewis has a chance to shred the Browns defense this weekend as well. It was against the Browns that he set his record in 2003.
Det @ GB
Start Em Det
J. Kitna, QB
R. Williams, WR
M. Furrey, WR
Sit Em Det
M. Campbell, TE
K. Jones, RB OUT - Lis Franc - Career Ending???
A. Harris, RB
Super sneaky ninja pick
A. Cason, RB
I don't suggest using this if you have any chance of winning. This is mostly just to publish ahead of time, so that when he does go 'Artrose Pinner' on the bit, and rattle off 3 TDs against the Pack, that I can say HA HA! I told you so! This is mostly in response to Pinner, Karney, and Shipp in recent weeks sniping touchdowns from real fantasy players.
Mike Martz, the Mad Scientist has been great at throwing the rock around all year. This trend should continue this weekend against the weakest pass defense in the NFL. I don't think the Lions will run effectively enough though to warrant starting a RB now that Jones is out for the year. Furrey makes a great play as he has caught nine passes in each of the last 2 weeks.
Start Em GB
B. Favre, QB
D. Driver, WR
G. Jennings, WR
R. Martin, WR
A. Green, RB
Sit Em GB
B. Franks, TE
D, Martin, TE - Questionable, Ribs
If Minnesota can put up 30 on the Lions with their anemic offense, Brett Favre should be able to carve up the Motor City Kitties. Fantasy owners should ride their Packers to victory this weekend.
Hou @ NE
Start Em Hou
None
Sit Em Hou
A. Johnson, WR
D. Carr, QB
W. Lundy, RB
R. Dayne, RB
O. Daniels. TE
The Patriots lost last week 21-0 to the Dolphins. The Texans are just this side of terrible. The Patriots could be mad. The Patriots are at home. It's virtually impossible for the Patriots to lay two eggs in a row. If this game was in week 8 or something, I'd probably start Johnson. but in the Playoffs, I'm not taking a chance on Johnson. Just leave your Texans on the bench, if they catch fire so be it.
Start Em NE
T. Brady, QB
R. Caldwell, WR
C. Dillion, RB
Sit Em NE
L. Maroney, RB - OUT, Ribs
D. Gabriel, WR - Out, Cut.
B. Watson, TE - OUT, Belichick random injury.
D. Graham, TE - Questionable, Ankle, or Concussion.
C. Jackson, WR - Questionable, Talent
Jax @ Ten
Start Em Jax
M. Jones-Drew, RB
E. Wilford, WR
F. Taylor, RB
Sit Em Jax
D. Garrad, QB
G. Wrightster, TE
M. Jones, WR
Jacksonville proved last week against the Colts that their success under David Garrad lies on the ground. For this to happen Fraud Taylor and MoJo Drew need to be on the top of their game. Early in the week both of them had hamstring injuries, which really isn't a surprise considering all the running those two did. Both should be fine this week against the Titans. Speaking of the Titans, they really aren't as good as they are trying to be. They are playing inspired football right now, but the Jaguars have the talent on offense to stop that nonsense. Wilford is still the 'Go-Near' guy for Garrad, but if he is only going to throw 14 times a game, niether one makes a great play.
Start Em Ten
V. Young, QB
D. Bennett, WR
Sit Em Ten
B. Jones, WR
T. Henry, RB - Questionable, Ankle
C. Brown, RB - Questionable, Talent
B. Scaife, TE - Questionable, Ankle
Vince Young has the speed, quickness, and agility to break the ankles of his opponents. Looking at the injury report this week it looks like he's doing it in practice too. He is really the only play this week, because he is much like Mike Vick, talented enough to make plays with their feet. I wouldn't start the RBs because the Jacksonville front 7 is very good. D. Bennett is really the only WR worth playing this week.
Mia @ Buf
Start Em Mia
J. Harrington, QB
M. Booker, WR
W. Welker, WR
R. McMichael, TE
Sit Em Mia
C. Chambers, WR
S. Morris, RB
R. Brown, RB - Out hand
This is one of the hardest games to read this week. If this one were in Miami it would be much easier. The weather could be an issue in Buffalo, which would cause some concern for the Miami passing game. For some odd reason the most talented receiver on the team has been phased out. Chambers hasn't been productive at all this season, and therefore you can't trust him in your playoffs. Marty Booker has the hot hand, and is worthy of starting this week. Harrington has been surprisingly adequate this year. If the weather is an issue, Sammy Morris could be a good play this week. I'm still not going to trust my team to him though.
Start Em Buf
L. Evans, WR
Sit Em Buf
W. McGahee, RB
JP Losman, QB
R. Parrish, WR
R. Royal, TE
A. Thomas, RB
Buffalo has been an enigma as well this year. They have been as hard of a team to read as there is in the league, (save Carolina). Lee Evans is the only play I can claim this week because he is the focal point of the Bills offense. McGahee gets a lot of carries, but he could be shut down against a stiffling Miami defense. Jason Taylor has been an absolute beast as of late, and I don't see that changing any time soon. I don't expect fantastic numbers out of Evans, but there is a better chance than most that he could hit the home run, on any pass play, even if the weather is an issue.
NYJ @ Min
Start Em NYJ
C. Pennington, QB
L. Coles, WR
J. Cotcherty, WR
C. Baker, TE
Sit Em NYJ
All RBs
Start Em Min
C. Taylor, RB - Questionable, Ribs
Sit Em Min
M. Moore, RB
B. Johnson, QB
M. Robinson, WR -OUT Deactivated, Coaches Decision
T. Taylor, WR
J. Wiggins, TE
T. Williamson, WR
Pit @ Car
Start Em Pit
H. Ward, WR - Probable, Knee Surgery
N. Washington, WR
H. Miller, TE
Sit Em Pit
W. Parker, RB
B. Roethlesberger, QB
S. Holmes, WR
Start Em Car
S. Smith, WR
K. Johnson, WR
D. Foster, RB
Sit Em Car
C. Weinke, QB
J. Delhomme, QB - Doubtful - hand
D. Williams, RB
K. Magnum, TE
TB @ Chi
Start Em TB
None
Sit Em TB
C. Williams, RB
M. Alstott, RB
J. Galloway, WR
B. Gradkowski, QB
etc.
Start Em Chi
C. Benson, RB
B. Berrian, WR
M. Muhammad, WR
Sit Em Chi
T. Jones, RB - Questionable- hand
R. Grossman, QB
D. Clark, TE
Was @ NO
Start Em Was
S. Moss, WR
L. Betts, RB
C. Cooley, TE
Sit Em Was
J. Campbell, QB
A. Randel El, WR
Start Em NO
D. Brees, QB
R. Bush, RB
M. Colston, WR
D. Henderson, WR
Sit Em NO
M. Karney, RB
J. Horn, WR - OUT - Hammy
D. McAlister, RB
Den @ Ari
Start Em Den
T. Bell, RB
J. Walker, WR
T. Sheffler, TE
Sit Em Den
J. Cutler, QB
M. Bell, RB
R. Smith, WR
Start Em Ari
L. Fitzgerald, WR
Sit Em Ari
A. Boldin, WR
M. Leinart, QB
E. James, RB
M. Shipp, RB
L. Pope, TE
Other TE Guy
Phi @ NYG
Start Em Phi
J. Garcia, QB
B. Westbrook, RB
D. Stallworth, WR
LJ Smith, TE
Sit Em Phi
R. Brown, WR
Start Em NYG
E. Manning, QB
P. Burress, WR
J. Shockey, TE
T. Barber, RB
Sit Em NYG
T. Carter, WR
D. Tyree, WR
S. Moss, WR
B. Jacobs, RB
StL @ Oak
Start Em StL
S. Jackson, RB
M. Brunell, QB
T. Holt, WR
Sit Em StL
I. Bruce, WR
S. Davis, RB
K. Curtis, WR
Start Em Oak
(Here's a first... I'm advocating RAIDERS!!!)
J. Fargas, RB
Sit Em Oak
R. Curry, WR
R. Moss, WR
A. Brooks, QB
etc.
Yeah, Oakland is terrible, but St. Louis is a bit of a rushing sieve on defense, so Fargas can be a sneaky start. Assuming Oakland is smart enough to rush enough to make him worthy of starting. Just a side note, what was your favorite Randy Moss in Silver and Black moment? It looks as if his run in Oaktown is done.
KC @ SD
Start Em KC
L. Johnson, RBeast
T. Gonzalez, TE
Sit Em KC
T. Green, QB
E. Kennison, WR
S. Parker, WR
Start Em SD
L. Tomlinson, Record Breaking RBeast
A. Gates, TE
P. Rivers, QB
Sit Em SD
E. Parker, WR
K. McCardell, WR
Monday Night:
Cin @ Ind
Start Em Cin
C. Palmer, QB
C. Johnson, WR
R. Johnson, RB
TJ Houshmandzadeh, WR
Sit Em Cin
C. Henry, WR
TEs
Start Em Ind
P. Manning, QB
M. Harrison, WR
R. Wayne, WR
Sit Em Ind
J. Addai, RB
D. Rhodes, RB
D. Clark, TE
B. Utecht, TE
Thursday, December 14, 2006
Start 'Em Sit 'Em Thurday Night, Week 15
San Fran @ Seattle
Start Em San Fran
Frank Gore, RB
Vernon Davis, TE
Sit Em San Fran
Alex Smith, QB
Antonio Bryant, WR
Arnaz Battle, WR
Eric Johnson, TE
Frank Gore is the only real meaningful start on the 49ers tonight. There are weather reports that it is very windy in Seattle tonight, which should severely limit the passing game. Vernon Davis still makes a decent start in TE mandatory leagues, as he is a safety valve for Alex Smith, and he's a very athletic player that can make things happen after a short catch. The rest of the 49ers offense is very boring and less interesting than the new Taylor Hicks album.
Start Em Seattle
Shaun Alexander, RB
Deion Branch, WR
Sit Em Seattle
Matt Hassleback, QB
Darrell Jackson, WR - OUT Toe
Jerramy Stevens, TE
Nate Burleson, WR
Shaun Alexander is a must start in a bad weather game. He DESTROYED a bad Green Bay defense in a bad weather game. He should do the same against a bad 49ers defense. If Edge James can do damage against the 49ers, Shaun Alexander should light them up like a Christmas Tree in the Seattle Airport... oh wait... maybe like a Christmas Tree in Central Park would be a better simile. With the weather issue in Seattle tonight, it takes Hassleback and his passing game out of the options to play this weekend. Deion Branch remains in the starting list because Jackson is hurt, and Branch is athletic enough to take the short junk and break into something long, or just catch a lot of the underneath things. Jerramy Stevens is about as worthless as a big name Tight End as you can find in the NFL. If he didn't have so much potential on a pass happy offense, he wouldn't warrant being on a roster. The other receivers normally would be in the start category this week, but with the 30 mph winds... I won't put much faith in their production this week.
Good luck this week as your fantasy playoffs should be kicking off this weekend!
Start Em San Fran
Frank Gore, RB
Vernon Davis, TE
Sit Em San Fran
Alex Smith, QB
Antonio Bryant, WR
Arnaz Battle, WR
Eric Johnson, TE
Frank Gore is the only real meaningful start on the 49ers tonight. There are weather reports that it is very windy in Seattle tonight, which should severely limit the passing game. Vernon Davis still makes a decent start in TE mandatory leagues, as he is a safety valve for Alex Smith, and he's a very athletic player that can make things happen after a short catch. The rest of the 49ers offense is very boring and less interesting than the new Taylor Hicks album.
Start Em Seattle
Shaun Alexander, RB
Deion Branch, WR
Sit Em Seattle
Matt Hassleback, QB
Darrell Jackson, WR - OUT Toe
Jerramy Stevens, TE
Nate Burleson, WR
Shaun Alexander is a must start in a bad weather game. He DESTROYED a bad Green Bay defense in a bad weather game. He should do the same against a bad 49ers defense. If Edge James can do damage against the 49ers, Shaun Alexander should light them up like a Christmas Tree in the Seattle Airport... oh wait... maybe like a Christmas Tree in Central Park would be a better simile. With the weather issue in Seattle tonight, it takes Hassleback and his passing game out of the options to play this weekend. Deion Branch remains in the starting list because Jackson is hurt, and Branch is athletic enough to take the short junk and break into something long, or just catch a lot of the underneath things. Jerramy Stevens is about as worthless as a big name Tight End as you can find in the NFL. If he didn't have so much potential on a pass happy offense, he wouldn't warrant being on a roster. The other receivers normally would be in the start category this week, but with the 30 mph winds... I won't put much faith in their production this week.
Good luck this week as your fantasy playoffs should be kicking off this weekend!
Monday, December 11, 2006
Sunday Observations - Week 14
In My Fason!
When monitoring the Vikings offensive woes early in the week, most of the focus was on the quarterback situation. Will it be Johnson or Jackson. We all waited with baited breath at this decision, so we could bench/release both. The other issue out of Winter Park this week was whether or not Chester Taylor would play. We ALL assumed that if the Chetster was unable to go, his replacement would be Ciatrick Fason, who ripped up and gashed the vaunted Bears defense, when Taylor got injured last week. WOW! Did Brad Childress make his best play to leap into level of coaches that fantasy players love to hate. This group of course includes, Mike Shannahan, and the recently inducted Gary Kubiak. The Dark Sith Lord of Fantasy Football, and his evil apprentice. Brad Johnson ended up starting, and played good enough to not warrant fantasy consideration next week. The real hum-dinger, was when Artrose Pinner came in and lit up the fantasy world. He had 125 yards and THREE touchdowns. All accross the country I was hearing people who started Fason scream "ARTROSE WHO!!??!!" every time Pinner marched across the goal line against his former squad. I know I was one of those players that was celebrating the fact that Taylor was down, because I had grabbed Fason early in the week and was licking my chops at the prospects of him ripping up the lions. I even benched Tiki Barber in one league for Fason. So with that, IN MY FASON!
The Colts are EXPOSED! Children, avert your eyes.
Of all the things I didn't expect to see this weekend, the Jacksonville rushing attack against the Colts was definitely one of them. I knew that Taylor and Jones-Drew would be decent plays against a weak Colts rushing defense, but 297 yards between those two was completely unexpected. It was a great game plan by Jacksonville. They basically eliminated the passing game. Jacksonville almost seemed to go out of their way to prove that the Colts have less coverage up the middle than Brittany Spears when she goes out clubbing. After the game the Jaguars players gave a lot of the credit to Mike Tice, their embattled assistant head-coach, who got in trouble for scalping Super-Bowl Tickets. If their running game can play like this every week until the end of the season, ole Ticey might need to keep those Super Bowl tickets for his family this year.
Tony Who?
"In the last four games, Tony Romo has six touchdown passes and five interceptions. All but one of those touchdowns (and none of the picks) came on Thanksgiving. Since his next game is on NFL Network, which nobody will see, his mythical status will likely continue even if he lays an egg for the fourth time in five weeks."
One of the more disgusting developments this year was the love-fest heaped upon one Tony Romo. I'm proud to say I was one of the few that never bought into the long term success of this flash in the pan Dallas QB. First off, if he had any real talent, he wouldn't have to be a 4th year rookie. Secondly, It's the way the NFL works when it comes to new quarterbacks in the league. There have been at least 5 examples of 'new' quarterbacks that have started hotter than a pistol, and then after 5 games have flamed out and have looked very ordinary, if not awful. This list includes phenoms like Rex Grossman, Damon Huard, Bruce Gradkowski, Matt Leinart, and to a lesser extent Seneca Wallace. All these QBs had about 4-5 games where they looked GREAT, and then once teams got some film on them to figure the QBs out they look ordinary. The same thing is happening to Romo. He came in against the Giants at halftime, and looked abysmal. Then he gets another week of work with the first team, plays a terrible team, and then looks like the next big thing. Repeat for 3 weeks, and suddenly he's a Top5 Fantasy QB into next year. Now after Thanksgiving he plays the Giants again, gets beat up, plays awful. Makes one throw at the end of the game to Witten to save the game, and everyone forgets the two ints. Now he laid an egg against the Saints, and people still think he's good. I don't get it. We'll see how good people think he is when Jeff Garcia leads the Eagles to the NFC East division title.
Sweet Brees Blowin'
Five TDs last week against the supposedly good Dallas Defense? Brees has thrown for 300+ yards for more than any other QB in the league this year. He's making Peyton Manning look like Eli. Drew wasn't good enough to stay in San Diego. Now he's in New Orleans, as the only real competition to his former running back for the league MVP. When you factor in the complete turn around that team has done this year, I'm more inclined to give the MVP to Brees than LT. Brees has been a great fantasy QB all year, and looks to be a great fantasy QB for years to come with all those great young receivers he has in Colston, Henderson, and even Terrance Copper. Reggie Bush will be a star for Brees in the future (what was Houston THINKING!). All that's left for New Orleans to do is rebuild their line, and they will be tough for the next few years.
I'm already on record as saying this years Super Bowl will be New Orleans v. San Diego. Get your tickets now. Ticey? Got some for sale?
Write that Record in Pencil
This last weekend Ladanian Tomlinson broke the venerable one year old 'Touchdowns in a Season' record, set by Shaun Alexander. Alexander broke the record set one or two years before by Priest Holmes.
How long until LT's record is broken, and by who? Well considering the season isn't over yet, and there are three games left for him to add to his total, that may skew the chances of breaking the record. If LT goes even nuttier and bumps his total to 40TDs that could limit the chances of breaking the record three years in a row. It will also virtually guarantee that every fantasy team with Tomlinson on it will win its Championship. Forget TJ Houshmandzadeh, LT is the Championship.
My early guess at 2007, and who has the best shot at breaking the TD record? This all depends on if Tiki Barber follows through with his threat on retirement, but my early money is on Brandon Jacobs. He will have the size and power to get all the goal line carries. He will also have the speed and ability to bust some long runs as well. We can only hope that Tom Coughlin gets fired, and the Giants get a coach that focuses on the run as well.
When monitoring the Vikings offensive woes early in the week, most of the focus was on the quarterback situation. Will it be Johnson or Jackson. We all waited with baited breath at this decision, so we could bench/release both. The other issue out of Winter Park this week was whether or not Chester Taylor would play. We ALL assumed that if the Chetster was unable to go, his replacement would be Ciatrick Fason, who ripped up and gashed the vaunted Bears defense, when Taylor got injured last week. WOW! Did Brad Childress make his best play to leap into level of coaches that fantasy players love to hate. This group of course includes, Mike Shannahan, and the recently inducted Gary Kubiak. The Dark Sith Lord of Fantasy Football, and his evil apprentice. Brad Johnson ended up starting, and played good enough to not warrant fantasy consideration next week. The real hum-dinger, was when Artrose Pinner came in and lit up the fantasy world. He had 125 yards and THREE touchdowns. All accross the country I was hearing people who started Fason scream "ARTROSE WHO!!??!!" every time Pinner marched across the goal line against his former squad. I know I was one of those players that was celebrating the fact that Taylor was down, because I had grabbed Fason early in the week and was licking my chops at the prospects of him ripping up the lions. I even benched Tiki Barber in one league for Fason. So with that, IN MY FASON!
The Colts are EXPOSED! Children, avert your eyes.
Of all the things I didn't expect to see this weekend, the Jacksonville rushing attack against the Colts was definitely one of them. I knew that Taylor and Jones-Drew would be decent plays against a weak Colts rushing defense, but 297 yards between those two was completely unexpected. It was a great game plan by Jacksonville. They basically eliminated the passing game. Jacksonville almost seemed to go out of their way to prove that the Colts have less coverage up the middle than Brittany Spears when she goes out clubbing. After the game the Jaguars players gave a lot of the credit to Mike Tice, their embattled assistant head-coach, who got in trouble for scalping Super-Bowl Tickets. If their running game can play like this every week until the end of the season, ole Ticey might need to keep those Super Bowl tickets for his family this year.
Tony Who?
"In the last four games, Tony Romo has six touchdown passes and five interceptions. All but one of those touchdowns (and none of the picks) came on Thanksgiving. Since his next game is on NFL Network, which nobody will see, his mythical status will likely continue even if he lays an egg for the fourth time in five weeks."
One of the more disgusting developments this year was the love-fest heaped upon one Tony Romo. I'm proud to say I was one of the few that never bought into the long term success of this flash in the pan Dallas QB. First off, if he had any real talent, he wouldn't have to be a 4th year rookie. Secondly, It's the way the NFL works when it comes to new quarterbacks in the league. There have been at least 5 examples of 'new' quarterbacks that have started hotter than a pistol, and then after 5 games have flamed out and have looked very ordinary, if not awful. This list includes phenoms like Rex Grossman, Damon Huard, Bruce Gradkowski, Matt Leinart, and to a lesser extent Seneca Wallace. All these QBs had about 4-5 games where they looked GREAT, and then once teams got some film on them to figure the QBs out they look ordinary. The same thing is happening to Romo. He came in against the Giants at halftime, and looked abysmal. Then he gets another week of work with the first team, plays a terrible team, and then looks like the next big thing. Repeat for 3 weeks, and suddenly he's a Top5 Fantasy QB into next year. Now after Thanksgiving he plays the Giants again, gets beat up, plays awful. Makes one throw at the end of the game to Witten to save the game, and everyone forgets the two ints. Now he laid an egg against the Saints, and people still think he's good. I don't get it. We'll see how good people think he is when Jeff Garcia leads the Eagles to the NFC East division title.
Sweet Brees Blowin'
Five TDs last week against the supposedly good Dallas Defense? Brees has thrown for 300+ yards for more than any other QB in the league this year. He's making Peyton Manning look like Eli. Drew wasn't good enough to stay in San Diego. Now he's in New Orleans, as the only real competition to his former running back for the league MVP. When you factor in the complete turn around that team has done this year, I'm more inclined to give the MVP to Brees than LT. Brees has been a great fantasy QB all year, and looks to be a great fantasy QB for years to come with all those great young receivers he has in Colston, Henderson, and even Terrance Copper. Reggie Bush will be a star for Brees in the future (what was Houston THINKING!). All that's left for New Orleans to do is rebuild their line, and they will be tough for the next few years.
I'm already on record as saying this years Super Bowl will be New Orleans v. San Diego. Get your tickets now. Ticey? Got some for sale?
Write that Record in Pencil
This last weekend Ladanian Tomlinson broke the venerable one year old 'Touchdowns in a Season' record, set by Shaun Alexander. Alexander broke the record set one or two years before by Priest Holmes.
How long until LT's record is broken, and by who? Well considering the season isn't over yet, and there are three games left for him to add to his total, that may skew the chances of breaking the record. If LT goes even nuttier and bumps his total to 40TDs that could limit the chances of breaking the record three years in a row. It will also virtually guarantee that every fantasy team with Tomlinson on it will win its Championship. Forget TJ Houshmandzadeh, LT is the Championship.
My early guess at 2007, and who has the best shot at breaking the TD record? This all depends on if Tiki Barber follows through with his threat on retirement, but my early money is on Brandon Jacobs. He will have the size and power to get all the goal line carries. He will also have the speed and ability to bust some long runs as well. We can only hope that Tom Coughlin gets fired, and the Giants get a coach that focuses on the run as well.
Sunday, December 10, 2006
Week 14 Sunday/Monday Start & Sit
Sunday's Games:
Atl @ TB
Start Em Atl
M. Vick, QB
W. Dunn, WR
A. Crumpler, TE
Sit Em Atl
J. Norwood, RB
All ATL WRs
Mike Vick, the embattled Atlanta Quarterback, is still an efficent fantasy quarterback. He can do things that other fantasy quarterbacks can't do. He still doesn't throw touchdowns, but he can run for more yards than any other QB in the league. He scores fantasy points. That's all players care about. Who cares that he can't win games. The other thing he has going for him, is the TB offense is fairly brutal, so that should keep Vick and company on the field fairly often. Dunn makes a sneaky play, as the Tampa defense can be beaten down and run against. Alge Crumpler is a must start in TE mandatory leagues. Norwood could be a very sneaky start if you need a pinch hitter. He gets a few carries a game, and tends to make each one count. He likes to rip long bombs off for TDs. Other than the home run though, he is more likely to strike out, rather than be a safe start. The Atlanta WRs are worthless. Most of Vick's bad passing numbers come from the set of WRs that can't catch a simple pass. Don't count on these guys this week.
Start Em TB
J. Galloway, WR
Sit Em TB
B. Gradkowski, QB
C. Williams, RB
M. Clayton, WR - IR Out for year
I. Hilliard, WR
A. Smith, TE
Joey Galloway is the only guy you can take a shot on this week. He should catch a few lame ducks from Gradkowski to put up a few points for owners against a soft Atlanta secondary. Fantasy owners are always wanting to use their first round pick of Carnell Williams. He could put up good numbers today, however, with the weak passing game in Tampa, I simply don't trust him. Atlanta can load up the front and stuff Williams. Gradkowski isn't very good, and shouldn't be on a roster. Clayton was placed on injured reserve this week, and can be dropped now, even on keeper leagues. He hasn't shown that he is worthy of roster spot going into next year. The other players aren't worthy of playing this week.
Bal @ KC
Start Em Bal
S. McNair, QB
D. Mason, WR
T. Heap, TE
J. Lewis, RB
Sit Em Bal
M. Clayton, WR
M. Anderson, RB
Last week the lowly Cleveland Browns proved that you can pass on the KC Chiefs. I would expect that to be part of the Ravens' game plan this week. Look for McNair, and his favorite toys of Todd Heap, and Derrick Mason to post good numbers this week. Jamal Lewis will get his as they mix in the run. Mark Clayton has been getting mixed in as of late, however he is still too streaky to trust in this critical week of the fantasy season.
Start Em KC
L. Johnson, RB
T. Gonzalez, TE -Prob, Shoulder
T. Green, QB
Sit Em KC
M. Bennett, RB
E. Kennison, WR
S. Parker, WR
Larry Johnson is a legitamate fantasy beast. I have gone on record saying I would start him against the '85 Bears. So of course I would start him against the Ravens at home this week. Last week Johnson may have let a few people down, without scoring a touchdown. Green went off throwing four touchdowns, and none of them to LJ. Speaking of Green's game last week, is that a trend or a mirage? I believe that is an absolute flukey mirage. He hasn't had a game like that since 2004. The KC offense is run first, run second, and run third. Green threw 4 TDs, and incase you didn't notice, they lost. Green makes a good play this week, against a Ravens Defense that can be thrown against, but don't expect those numbers again. Gonzo is always a great play, injured shoulder or not. Bennett has been sneaking in the game more often, stealing a series here, a carry there from Johnson, but not enough yet, to warrant fantasy consideration. Kennison and Parker don't make good plays yet against the Ravens because Gonzo is getting healthy. Also, I just don't flat trust Kennison. If you must play a KC WR, I've been on the Parker bandwagon for 2 weeks, so why don't we make it 3. He is always a very sneaky play.
Ind @ Jax
Start Em Ind
P. Manning, QB
M. Harrison, WR
R. Wayne, WR
Sit Em Ind
J. Addai, RB
D. Rhodes, RB
B. Utecht, TE
D. Clark, TE
This could be a very tough game for Indy. Jacksonville plays very good defense at home. I don't suggest playing your Indy running backs this week, as the Jax, front line is one of the best in football, especially at home. The passing game is the way to go. Manning is a must start every week. Harrison went off last week, as I could have predicted after running him down in an article last week (Marvin, I love you!). Reggie Wayne is in line for the big game this week, as Peyton tends to try and flip flop the WRs with the 'big game' stats. Although, with that stinky 1 catch for 9 yards performance 2 weeks ago, Marv may get 2 in a row. The only gaurantee is you can't bench either of them, because unless you can read tea leaves, you will just never know. You can't start the TEs in this game, because they are either hurt, or they split too much of each other's time, and they are more unreliable than the 'Harrison/Wayne' connection.
Start Em Jax
F. Taylor, RB
M. Jones-Drew, RB
Sit Em Jax
D. Garrad, QB
E. Wilford, WR
M. Jones, WR
R. Williams, WR
G. Wrightster, TE
M. Lewis, TE
If Jacksonville is to win this game, they are going to have to do it on the ground. Indianapolis is one of the worst running defenses in the league. That makes both running backs, Fraud Taylor, and Maurice Jones-Drew, great plays this week. Indy has a great pass defense, with a blitzkrieg pass rush and great corners. Garrad isn't great either, so that combination pretty much negates the entire Jacksonville passing game. The only way you start any of these guys is if you have a gun to your head. If then, you start Wilford. He is Garrad's favorite 'go near' guy.
Min @ Det
Start Em Min
C. Fason, RB
M. Moore, RB
Sit Em Min
B. Johnson, QB
M. Johnson, WR
T. Taylor, WR
T. Williamson, WR
J. Wiggins, TE
C. Taylor, RB - OUT, Ribs
If you were unfortunate enough to suffer through watching the Bears/Vikings game last week, you learned exactly WHY you don't start the Vikings passing game. IT STINKS!!! Even against the Lions this week, you can't start any facet of the Vikings passing attack. Starting with the Quarterback. First off, we don't know who it is. Brad Johnson is rumored to start, however, all of Viking Nation is clamoring for the rookie, Tarvaris Jackson to start. The Receivers are all mediocre at best (although, I'll take them over Atlanta's crew). Jermaine Wiggins has all but vanished. On to the fun part of the Vikings offense. This week, even the running game is in flux. Chester Taylor is doubtful with a rib injury. As I write this, and listen to the Vikings pregame show, Taylor is trying to work out, and start. Should he be unable to go, Ciatrick Fason would get the start, and make an excellent play this week. Mewelde Moore, would also an expanded roll, and could make a play if you are tight at RB. Even if Taylor starts, Fason might make a good play, because it could be only one good shot until Taylor is knocked out of the game.
Start Em Det
R. Williams, WR
M. Furrey, WR
Sit Em Det
J. Kitna, QB
K. Jones, RB
M. Williams, WR
The Detroit Lions... the enigma. This set of picks is based purely on the strength and the pride of the Vikings Defense. The Vikings have the #1 rushing defense in the league and it's not even close. The last time these two met Kevin Jones got 8 yards. Bench him. Bench him and bury him. The flip side to that is that Vikings defense isn't so stout against the pass. This makes Roy Williams and Mike Furrey good plays this week. Matt Leinart made passes to his WRs to carve up this defense, so Kitna and his WRs could be able to. Kitna makes an interesting thought this week. If you are pressed at QB you can start him. He's the only QB in the league this year to throw for 200 yards in each game this year. He'll probably get a TD in the game. The question is, how many picks will he throw? How much of the pass defense turn around last week was weather/Grossman related for the Vikings? If you have a better option at QB, start him. If you are stuck, go ahead and start Kitna with shaky confidence.
NE @ Mia
Start Em NE
T. Brady, QB
R. Caldwell, WR
B. Watson, TE
C. Dillion, RB
Sit Em NE
L. Maroney, RB - Out, Back-Ribs
D. Gabriel, WR
D. Graham, TE
T. Brown, WR
Tom Brady and the New England Patriots should tear up the Dolphins on the road today. Brady makes an excellent play, however, much of his supporting cast does not. Ben Watson and Reche Caldwell are the best plays today, as far as pass catchers go. They are, by far, Brady's favorite receivers. Laurence Maroney is out for the game today. He didn't even make the trip to Miami. Corey Dillion expects to see a slight uptick in his carries, and all the goal line carries. He makes a good play against Miami. The rest of the team doesn't carry any consideration in fantasy leagues.
Start Em Mia
None.
Sit Em Mia
J. Harrington, QB
M. Booker, WR
C. Chambers, WR
S. Morris, RB
W. Welker, WR
R. McMichael, TE
This week I would bench all of my Dolphins. The New England Defense is on a roll as of late, and they could completly shut down the Dolphins this week. There are always questions about the playcalling in Miami, and this has gone into the analysis. If you are stuck for a WR, Marty Booker has been the hottest receiver as of late, and makes the safest play. Last week the Lions scared the Patriots, but Joey Heatherton is no Jon Kitna. The Patriots won't be embarrassed twice. Not against a division opponant, and definately not against a team like Miami. Look for the Patriots to win this one running away.
NYG @ Car
Start Em NYG
J. Shockey, TE
P. Burress, WR
T. Barber, RB
Sit Em NYG
E. Manning, QB
B. Jacobs, RB
T. Carter, WR
The Giants are falling apart at the seams. Everyone is hating on everyone else. The players hate the coach. The quarterback hates the receivers, the Tight End hates everyone. That said, Shockey still makes a decent play, as they still want to win. Burress makes a decent play, as he has personal pride. Tiki Barber makes a play because he gets a decent amount of carries. Other than that I don't trust the Giants about as far as I can throw them. Little Manning isn't consistant enough on the road to warrant consideration. Brandon Jacobs is still too hit and miss, and against the Panther's defense, is more likely to miss. Tim Carter, or the other WR doesn't get enough attention from an inaccurate QB to deserve a fantasy roster spot.
Start Em Car
S. Smith, WR
D. Williams, RB
Sit Em Car
J. Delhomme, QB -Out Thumb
C. Weinke, QB - Questionable, Talent
D. Foster, RB - Probable, Elbow
K. Johnson, WR - Questionable, Catching passes from Weinke
K. Magnum, TE
The craziest team to pick this year has been Carolina. Steve Smith is the only safe start, because he has freaky talent. DeAngelo Williams makes a good start because he has the talent to carve up the Giants defense, and to catch some outlet passes from Weinke as he panics. That said, you bench everyone else for the reasons listed above. Magnum doesn't get enough looks to start even in TE manditory leagues. Weinke hasn't started a game since 2001, and against a defense that made the next chosen one, Tony Romo, look mediocre to bad last week, really doesn't have much of a chance. This is going to be an ugly game. Ugly like the Carolina/St. Louis game a few weeks back.
Oak @ Cin
Start Em Oak
(Stop me if you've heard this one)
NONE!!
Sit Em Oak
All
Ick. oops... I think i threw up a little...
Start Em Cin
R. Johnson, RB
C. Johnson, WR
C. Henry, WR
Sit Em Cin
C. Palmer, QB
TJ Houshmandzadeh, WR -Probable Back
The safest start for Cincy this week is Rudi Johnson. Oakland's defense is beatable on the ground. C. Johnson is about the safest WR in this game. Oakland's pass defense is really strong. Which is why I'm not high on Carson Palmer this week. TJ Whosyourmama is dinged up this week, which makes him a tough start. Chris Henry was NOT the Bengal arrested this week, which is a miracle in and of itself, and with the injury to TJ he makes the safer play of the two, but against the Oakland defense, I'd leave them both on the bench this week.
Phi @ Wash
Start Em Phi
B. Westbrook, RB
J. Garcia, QB
D. Stallworth, WR
LJ Smith, TE
Sit Em Phi
R. Brown, WR
H. Baskett, WR
The Philly offense begins with 'The Rabbit' Brian Westbrook. Look for him to be a focal point of the offense. Jeff Garcia has emerged as a legitimate backup to Donovan McNabb. It was questionable if he would be able to pull it off. Last week, against the Panthers he proved that he would be able to post good fantasy numbers, with 300+ yards, and 3 TDs. He should be able to post good numbers against a soft, but surging Washington defense in a game that Philly absolutely needs if they wish to conitnue their playoff chances. Donte Stallworth makes a good play as he is emerging as a favorite target of Garcia. LJ Smith didn't catch a pass last week vs. the Panthers, however he still makes a good play in TE manditory leagues. Reggie Brown and Hank Baskett aren't worthy of fantasy consideration this week. They still need one more game to prove that they are catching passes from Garcia.
Start Em Was
L. Betts, RB
C. Cooley, TE
S. Moss, WR
Sit Em Was
J. Campbell, QB
A. Randel El, WR
B. Lloyd, WR
The Redskins have enjoyed some offensive success since their change to quarterback Jason Campbell. Ladell Betts has filled in admirably since Clinton Portis was placed on IR. He also signed a 5 year contract extension this week, so he should be eager to prove that he was worthy of the money. Santana Moss is of that 'Steve Smith' mold. Small, quick, and talented. He can make something out of nothing. Chris Cooley is a great TE play this week, as he has emerged as one of Campbell's favorite safety valve receivers. He is also big and burly enough to blow through a tackle or two. Campbell himself doesn't warrant consideration in a run first offense. He has yet to put up the huge numbers that fantasy owners covet when looking for in a starting QB. The backup WRs aren't worthy of roster spots in most leagues.
Ten@ Hou
Start Em Ten
T. Henry, RB
V. Young, QB
B. Scaife, TE
D. Bennett, WR
Sit Em Ten
C. Brown, RB
L. White, RB
B. Wade, WR
B. Jones, WR
Tennesee vs. Houston. About as random as you can get. If you ever wanted to safely start Vince Young, now is the time. Travis Henry SHOULD be safe, but he has a nice track record of disappearing against soft defenses. Scaife makes a good play in TE manditory leagues, and is healthy this week. Bennett is Young's favorite WR, and should get a TD and a few yards. The rest of the bits probably aren't on your roster, and therefore don't warrant consideration.
Start Em Hou
A. Johnson, WR
O. Daniels, TE
Sit Em Hou
D. Carr, QB
W. Lundy, RB
R. Dayne, RB
S. Gado, RB
E. Moulds, WR
Andre Johnson is (shudders) a must start this week against a soft Tennesee defense. However, this is the LAST week I give him that consideration (Eikey's Used Car Lot). Owen Daniels also fits that consideration in TE manditory leagues. You can't start the running backs this week if only because the coach, Gary Kubiak has been shaken out of the Sith Lord's coaching tree. The 3 RBs in Houston will be continually shaken up and mixed in, and none of them will get a bulk of the carries to give fantasy owners a decent chance to win. Sit them all, unless you have to start Lundy. He's probably the #1 in Houston. Carr is Terrible. Don't start him. Mould's is a nice decoy for Johnson.
GB @ SF
Start Em GB
B. Favre, QB
D. Driver, WR
G. Jennings, WR
A. Green, RB
Sit Em GB
N. Herron, RB
D. Martin, TE
This game should be a shoot out. Look for Favre to light up the 49er defense. Ahman Green should get his on the ground. Driver and Jennings make decent plays.
Start Em SF
F. Gore, RB
A. Bryant, WR
Sit Em SF
Everyone Else
Frank Gore is the only true viable option on this team. Green Bay does have a decent front 7, but that said, Gore is the focal point of the offense. Much like the Minnesota Vikings. The way to beat the Packers is in the air, but I don't think Smith and his receivers are consistant enough to warrant any consideration in this game. If you are in dire need for a WR play, Antonio Bryant makes a viable opiton against a soft Packer pass defense. Vernon Davis at TE hasn't done enough to warrant a starting spot yet.
Sea @ Ari
Start Em Sea
S. Alexander, RB
D. Jackson, WR
D. Branch, WR
M. Hasselback, QB
Start your Seahawks. Arizona is brutal. They play better at home, but that won't be enough to stop the juggernaut that can be a healthy Seatle offense. I wouldn't go too deep in the WRs though. Engram Burleson and Hackett probably aren't on rosters, and shouldn't be picked up for this game. Jerramy Stevens is too streaky to be relied on, but if you need him, go for it.
Start Em Ari
A. Boldin, WR
L. Fitzgerald, WR
M. Leinart, QB
Sit Em Ari
E. James, RB
M. Shipp, RB
L. Pope, TE
The big three in Arizona are good plays. Seattle can be thrown on. The Edge had his fantasy value killed last week when Marcell Shipp sniped three TDs from him on the goal line last week. don't start the running backs against the Seahawks this week.
Buf @ NYJ
Start Em Buf
W. McGahee, RB
L. Evans, WR
JP Losman, QB
Sit Em Buf
R. Parrish, WR
A. Thomas, RB
Willis McGahee is the focus of the Bills offense. JP Losman and Lee Evans are about as Streaky as you can get in fantasy football. I'm going way out on a limb here, and guessing that this is a game where they go off, against a softer Jets defense. They have proven they can do it in the past, I'm thinking it is about time they do it again.
Start Em NYJ
C. Pennington, QB
L. Coles, WR
J. Cotcherty, WR
C. Baker, TE
C. Houston, RB
L. Washington, RB
Sit Em NYJ
K. Barlow, RB
Start all your passing game Jets this week. They are on fire, and are going up against a softer Bills defense, at home. This game should be a barn burner, so get out your marshmallows. The running game is a mystery, almost as bad as the Denver and Houston games. Cedric Houston is the Starter. Leon Washington should be the backup, and Kevan Barlow should be the odd man out. However I gaurantee you that that will change based on your need to win your game. Either if you have them on your team, or if you are playing against them. I would do my best to avoid the situation altogether.
Den@ SD
Start Em Den
J. Walker, WR
Sit Em Den
J. Cutler, QB
T. Bell, RB
M. Bell, RB
R. Smith, WR
Start Em SD
L. Tomlinson, RB
A. Gates, TE
Sit Em SD
P. Rivers, QB
K. McCardell, WR
E. Parker, WR
M. Turner, RB
NO @ Dal
Start Em NO
D. Brees, QB
D. Henderson, WR
R. Bush, RB*
Sit Em NO
D. McAlister, RB
M. Colston, WR - Questionable, 'Non high ankle' High Ankle Sprain.
J. Horn, WR - OUT, Hammy-Groin
Start Em Dal
T. Romo, QB
T. Owens, WR
T. Glenn, WR
J. Witten, TE
M. Barber, RB
Sit Em Dal
J. Jones, RB
P. Crayton, WR
Mondays Game:
Chi @ Stl
Start Em Chi
T. Jones, RB
C. Benson, RB
Sit Em Chi
R. Grossman, QB(?)
B. Berrian, WR
M. Muhammad, WR
D. White, TE
Start Em StL
S. Jackson, RB
T. Holt, WR
Sit Em StL
M. Bulger, QB
I. Bruce, WR
K. Curtis, WR
Random TE Guy, TE
Atl @ TB
Start Em Atl
M. Vick, QB
W. Dunn, WR
A. Crumpler, TE
Sit Em Atl
J. Norwood, RB
All ATL WRs
Mike Vick, the embattled Atlanta Quarterback, is still an efficent fantasy quarterback. He can do things that other fantasy quarterbacks can't do. He still doesn't throw touchdowns, but he can run for more yards than any other QB in the league. He scores fantasy points. That's all players care about. Who cares that he can't win games. The other thing he has going for him, is the TB offense is fairly brutal, so that should keep Vick and company on the field fairly often. Dunn makes a sneaky play, as the Tampa defense can be beaten down and run against. Alge Crumpler is a must start in TE mandatory leagues. Norwood could be a very sneaky start if you need a pinch hitter. He gets a few carries a game, and tends to make each one count. He likes to rip long bombs off for TDs. Other than the home run though, he is more likely to strike out, rather than be a safe start. The Atlanta WRs are worthless. Most of Vick's bad passing numbers come from the set of WRs that can't catch a simple pass. Don't count on these guys this week.
Start Em TB
J. Galloway, WR
Sit Em TB
B. Gradkowski, QB
C. Williams, RB
M. Clayton, WR - IR Out for year
I. Hilliard, WR
A. Smith, TE
Joey Galloway is the only guy you can take a shot on this week. He should catch a few lame ducks from Gradkowski to put up a few points for owners against a soft Atlanta secondary. Fantasy owners are always wanting to use their first round pick of Carnell Williams. He could put up good numbers today, however, with the weak passing game in Tampa, I simply don't trust him. Atlanta can load up the front and stuff Williams. Gradkowski isn't very good, and shouldn't be on a roster. Clayton was placed on injured reserve this week, and can be dropped now, even on keeper leagues. He hasn't shown that he is worthy of roster spot going into next year. The other players aren't worthy of playing this week.
Bal @ KC
Start Em Bal
S. McNair, QB
D. Mason, WR
T. Heap, TE
J. Lewis, RB
Sit Em Bal
M. Clayton, WR
M. Anderson, RB
Last week the lowly Cleveland Browns proved that you can pass on the KC Chiefs. I would expect that to be part of the Ravens' game plan this week. Look for McNair, and his favorite toys of Todd Heap, and Derrick Mason to post good numbers this week. Jamal Lewis will get his as they mix in the run. Mark Clayton has been getting mixed in as of late, however he is still too streaky to trust in this critical week of the fantasy season.
Start Em KC
L. Johnson, RB
T. Gonzalez, TE -Prob, Shoulder
T. Green, QB
Sit Em KC
M. Bennett, RB
E. Kennison, WR
S. Parker, WR
Larry Johnson is a legitamate fantasy beast. I have gone on record saying I would start him against the '85 Bears. So of course I would start him against the Ravens at home this week. Last week Johnson may have let a few people down, without scoring a touchdown. Green went off throwing four touchdowns, and none of them to LJ. Speaking of Green's game last week, is that a trend or a mirage? I believe that is an absolute flukey mirage. He hasn't had a game like that since 2004. The KC offense is run first, run second, and run third. Green threw 4 TDs, and incase you didn't notice, they lost. Green makes a good play this week, against a Ravens Defense that can be thrown against, but don't expect those numbers again. Gonzo is always a great play, injured shoulder or not. Bennett has been sneaking in the game more often, stealing a series here, a carry there from Johnson, but not enough yet, to warrant fantasy consideration. Kennison and Parker don't make good plays yet against the Ravens because Gonzo is getting healthy. Also, I just don't flat trust Kennison. If you must play a KC WR, I've been on the Parker bandwagon for 2 weeks, so why don't we make it 3. He is always a very sneaky play.
Ind @ Jax
Start Em Ind
P. Manning, QB
M. Harrison, WR
R. Wayne, WR
Sit Em Ind
J. Addai, RB
D. Rhodes, RB
B. Utecht, TE
D. Clark, TE
This could be a very tough game for Indy. Jacksonville plays very good defense at home. I don't suggest playing your Indy running backs this week, as the Jax, front line is one of the best in football, especially at home. The passing game is the way to go. Manning is a must start every week. Harrison went off last week, as I could have predicted after running him down in an article last week (Marvin, I love you!). Reggie Wayne is in line for the big game this week, as Peyton tends to try and flip flop the WRs with the 'big game' stats. Although, with that stinky 1 catch for 9 yards performance 2 weeks ago, Marv may get 2 in a row. The only gaurantee is you can't bench either of them, because unless you can read tea leaves, you will just never know. You can't start the TEs in this game, because they are either hurt, or they split too much of each other's time, and they are more unreliable than the 'Harrison/Wayne' connection.
Start Em Jax
F. Taylor, RB
M. Jones-Drew, RB
Sit Em Jax
D. Garrad, QB
E. Wilford, WR
M. Jones, WR
R. Williams, WR
G. Wrightster, TE
M. Lewis, TE
If Jacksonville is to win this game, they are going to have to do it on the ground. Indianapolis is one of the worst running defenses in the league. That makes both running backs, Fraud Taylor, and Maurice Jones-Drew, great plays this week. Indy has a great pass defense, with a blitzkrieg pass rush and great corners. Garrad isn't great either, so that combination pretty much negates the entire Jacksonville passing game. The only way you start any of these guys is if you have a gun to your head. If then, you start Wilford. He is Garrad's favorite 'go near' guy.
Min @ Det
Start Em Min
C. Fason, RB
M. Moore, RB
Sit Em Min
B. Johnson, QB
M. Johnson, WR
T. Taylor, WR
T. Williamson, WR
J. Wiggins, TE
C. Taylor, RB - OUT, Ribs
If you were unfortunate enough to suffer through watching the Bears/Vikings game last week, you learned exactly WHY you don't start the Vikings passing game. IT STINKS!!! Even against the Lions this week, you can't start any facet of the Vikings passing attack. Starting with the Quarterback. First off, we don't know who it is. Brad Johnson is rumored to start, however, all of Viking Nation is clamoring for the rookie, Tarvaris Jackson to start. The Receivers are all mediocre at best (although, I'll take them over Atlanta's crew). Jermaine Wiggins has all but vanished. On to the fun part of the Vikings offense. This week, even the running game is in flux. Chester Taylor is doubtful with a rib injury. As I write this, and listen to the Vikings pregame show, Taylor is trying to work out, and start. Should he be unable to go, Ciatrick Fason would get the start, and make an excellent play this week. Mewelde Moore, would also an expanded roll, and could make a play if you are tight at RB. Even if Taylor starts, Fason might make a good play, because it could be only one good shot until Taylor is knocked out of the game.
Start Em Det
R. Williams, WR
M. Furrey, WR
Sit Em Det
J. Kitna, QB
K. Jones, RB
M. Williams, WR
The Detroit Lions... the enigma. This set of picks is based purely on the strength and the pride of the Vikings Defense. The Vikings have the #1 rushing defense in the league and it's not even close. The last time these two met Kevin Jones got 8 yards. Bench him. Bench him and bury him. The flip side to that is that Vikings defense isn't so stout against the pass. This makes Roy Williams and Mike Furrey good plays this week. Matt Leinart made passes to his WRs to carve up this defense, so Kitna and his WRs could be able to. Kitna makes an interesting thought this week. If you are pressed at QB you can start him. He's the only QB in the league this year to throw for 200 yards in each game this year. He'll probably get a TD in the game. The question is, how many picks will he throw? How much of the pass defense turn around last week was weather/Grossman related for the Vikings? If you have a better option at QB, start him. If you are stuck, go ahead and start Kitna with shaky confidence.
NE @ Mia
Start Em NE
T. Brady, QB
R. Caldwell, WR
B. Watson, TE
C. Dillion, RB
Sit Em NE
L. Maroney, RB - Out, Back-Ribs
D. Gabriel, WR
D. Graham, TE
T. Brown, WR
Tom Brady and the New England Patriots should tear up the Dolphins on the road today. Brady makes an excellent play, however, much of his supporting cast does not. Ben Watson and Reche Caldwell are the best plays today, as far as pass catchers go. They are, by far, Brady's favorite receivers. Laurence Maroney is out for the game today. He didn't even make the trip to Miami. Corey Dillion expects to see a slight uptick in his carries, and all the goal line carries. He makes a good play against Miami. The rest of the team doesn't carry any consideration in fantasy leagues.
Start Em Mia
None.
Sit Em Mia
J. Harrington, QB
M. Booker, WR
C. Chambers, WR
S. Morris, RB
W. Welker, WR
R. McMichael, TE
This week I would bench all of my Dolphins. The New England Defense is on a roll as of late, and they could completly shut down the Dolphins this week. There are always questions about the playcalling in Miami, and this has gone into the analysis. If you are stuck for a WR, Marty Booker has been the hottest receiver as of late, and makes the safest play. Last week the Lions scared the Patriots, but Joey Heatherton is no Jon Kitna. The Patriots won't be embarrassed twice. Not against a division opponant, and definately not against a team like Miami. Look for the Patriots to win this one running away.
NYG @ Car
Start Em NYG
J. Shockey, TE
P. Burress, WR
T. Barber, RB
Sit Em NYG
E. Manning, QB
B. Jacobs, RB
T. Carter, WR
The Giants are falling apart at the seams. Everyone is hating on everyone else. The players hate the coach. The quarterback hates the receivers, the Tight End hates everyone. That said, Shockey still makes a decent play, as they still want to win. Burress makes a decent play, as he has personal pride. Tiki Barber makes a play because he gets a decent amount of carries. Other than that I don't trust the Giants about as far as I can throw them. Little Manning isn't consistant enough on the road to warrant consideration. Brandon Jacobs is still too hit and miss, and against the Panther's defense, is more likely to miss. Tim Carter, or the other WR doesn't get enough attention from an inaccurate QB to deserve a fantasy roster spot.
Start Em Car
S. Smith, WR
D. Williams, RB
Sit Em Car
J. Delhomme, QB -Out Thumb
C. Weinke, QB - Questionable, Talent
D. Foster, RB - Probable, Elbow
K. Johnson, WR - Questionable, Catching passes from Weinke
K. Magnum, TE
The craziest team to pick this year has been Carolina. Steve Smith is the only safe start, because he has freaky talent. DeAngelo Williams makes a good start because he has the talent to carve up the Giants defense, and to catch some outlet passes from Weinke as he panics. That said, you bench everyone else for the reasons listed above. Magnum doesn't get enough looks to start even in TE manditory leagues. Weinke hasn't started a game since 2001, and against a defense that made the next chosen one, Tony Romo, look mediocre to bad last week, really doesn't have much of a chance. This is going to be an ugly game. Ugly like the Carolina/St. Louis game a few weeks back.
Oak @ Cin
Start Em Oak
(Stop me if you've heard this one)
NONE!!
Sit Em Oak
All
Ick. oops... I think i threw up a little...
Start Em Cin
R. Johnson, RB
C. Johnson, WR
C. Henry, WR
Sit Em Cin
C. Palmer, QB
TJ Houshmandzadeh, WR -Probable Back
The safest start for Cincy this week is Rudi Johnson. Oakland's defense is beatable on the ground. C. Johnson is about the safest WR in this game. Oakland's pass defense is really strong. Which is why I'm not high on Carson Palmer this week. TJ Whosyourmama is dinged up this week, which makes him a tough start. Chris Henry was NOT the Bengal arrested this week, which is a miracle in and of itself, and with the injury to TJ he makes the safer play of the two, but against the Oakland defense, I'd leave them both on the bench this week.
Phi @ Wash
Start Em Phi
B. Westbrook, RB
J. Garcia, QB
D. Stallworth, WR
LJ Smith, TE
Sit Em Phi
R. Brown, WR
H. Baskett, WR
The Philly offense begins with 'The Rabbit' Brian Westbrook. Look for him to be a focal point of the offense. Jeff Garcia has emerged as a legitimate backup to Donovan McNabb. It was questionable if he would be able to pull it off. Last week, against the Panthers he proved that he would be able to post good fantasy numbers, with 300+ yards, and 3 TDs. He should be able to post good numbers against a soft, but surging Washington defense in a game that Philly absolutely needs if they wish to conitnue their playoff chances. Donte Stallworth makes a good play as he is emerging as a favorite target of Garcia. LJ Smith didn't catch a pass last week vs. the Panthers, however he still makes a good play in TE manditory leagues. Reggie Brown and Hank Baskett aren't worthy of fantasy consideration this week. They still need one more game to prove that they are catching passes from Garcia.
Start Em Was
L. Betts, RB
C. Cooley, TE
S. Moss, WR
Sit Em Was
J. Campbell, QB
A. Randel El, WR
B. Lloyd, WR
The Redskins have enjoyed some offensive success since their change to quarterback Jason Campbell. Ladell Betts has filled in admirably since Clinton Portis was placed on IR. He also signed a 5 year contract extension this week, so he should be eager to prove that he was worthy of the money. Santana Moss is of that 'Steve Smith' mold. Small, quick, and talented. He can make something out of nothing. Chris Cooley is a great TE play this week, as he has emerged as one of Campbell's favorite safety valve receivers. He is also big and burly enough to blow through a tackle or two. Campbell himself doesn't warrant consideration in a run first offense. He has yet to put up the huge numbers that fantasy owners covet when looking for in a starting QB. The backup WRs aren't worthy of roster spots in most leagues.
Ten@ Hou
Start Em Ten
T. Henry, RB
V. Young, QB
B. Scaife, TE
D. Bennett, WR
Sit Em Ten
C. Brown, RB
L. White, RB
B. Wade, WR
B. Jones, WR
Tennesee vs. Houston. About as random as you can get. If you ever wanted to safely start Vince Young, now is the time. Travis Henry SHOULD be safe, but he has a nice track record of disappearing against soft defenses. Scaife makes a good play in TE manditory leagues, and is healthy this week. Bennett is Young's favorite WR, and should get a TD and a few yards. The rest of the bits probably aren't on your roster, and therefore don't warrant consideration.
Start Em Hou
A. Johnson, WR
O. Daniels, TE
Sit Em Hou
D. Carr, QB
W. Lundy, RB
R. Dayne, RB
S. Gado, RB
E. Moulds, WR
Andre Johnson is (shudders) a must start this week against a soft Tennesee defense. However, this is the LAST week I give him that consideration (Eikey's Used Car Lot). Owen Daniels also fits that consideration in TE manditory leagues. You can't start the running backs this week if only because the coach, Gary Kubiak has been shaken out of the Sith Lord's coaching tree. The 3 RBs in Houston will be continually shaken up and mixed in, and none of them will get a bulk of the carries to give fantasy owners a decent chance to win. Sit them all, unless you have to start Lundy. He's probably the #1 in Houston. Carr is Terrible. Don't start him. Mould's is a nice decoy for Johnson.
GB @ SF
Start Em GB
B. Favre, QB
D. Driver, WR
G. Jennings, WR
A. Green, RB
Sit Em GB
N. Herron, RB
D. Martin, TE
This game should be a shoot out. Look for Favre to light up the 49er defense. Ahman Green should get his on the ground. Driver and Jennings make decent plays.
Start Em SF
F. Gore, RB
A. Bryant, WR
Sit Em SF
Everyone Else
Frank Gore is the only true viable option on this team. Green Bay does have a decent front 7, but that said, Gore is the focal point of the offense. Much like the Minnesota Vikings. The way to beat the Packers is in the air, but I don't think Smith and his receivers are consistant enough to warrant any consideration in this game. If you are in dire need for a WR play, Antonio Bryant makes a viable opiton against a soft Packer pass defense. Vernon Davis at TE hasn't done enough to warrant a starting spot yet.
Sea @ Ari
Start Em Sea
S. Alexander, RB
D. Jackson, WR
D. Branch, WR
M. Hasselback, QB
Start your Seahawks. Arizona is brutal. They play better at home, but that won't be enough to stop the juggernaut that can be a healthy Seatle offense. I wouldn't go too deep in the WRs though. Engram Burleson and Hackett probably aren't on rosters, and shouldn't be picked up for this game. Jerramy Stevens is too streaky to be relied on, but if you need him, go for it.
Start Em Ari
A. Boldin, WR
L. Fitzgerald, WR
M. Leinart, QB
Sit Em Ari
E. James, RB
M. Shipp, RB
L. Pope, TE
The big three in Arizona are good plays. Seattle can be thrown on. The Edge had his fantasy value killed last week when Marcell Shipp sniped three TDs from him on the goal line last week. don't start the running backs against the Seahawks this week.
Buf @ NYJ
Start Em Buf
W. McGahee, RB
L. Evans, WR
JP Losman, QB
Sit Em Buf
R. Parrish, WR
A. Thomas, RB
Willis McGahee is the focus of the Bills offense. JP Losman and Lee Evans are about as Streaky as you can get in fantasy football. I'm going way out on a limb here, and guessing that this is a game where they go off, against a softer Jets defense. They have proven they can do it in the past, I'm thinking it is about time they do it again.
Start Em NYJ
C. Pennington, QB
L. Coles, WR
J. Cotcherty, WR
C. Baker, TE
C. Houston, RB
L. Washington, RB
Sit Em NYJ
K. Barlow, RB
Start all your passing game Jets this week. They are on fire, and are going up against a softer Bills defense, at home. This game should be a barn burner, so get out your marshmallows. The running game is a mystery, almost as bad as the Denver and Houston games. Cedric Houston is the Starter. Leon Washington should be the backup, and Kevan Barlow should be the odd man out. However I gaurantee you that that will change based on your need to win your game. Either if you have them on your team, or if you are playing against them. I would do my best to avoid the situation altogether.
Den@ SD
Start Em Den
J. Walker, WR
Sit Em Den
J. Cutler, QB
T. Bell, RB
M. Bell, RB
R. Smith, WR
Start Em SD
L. Tomlinson, RB
A. Gates, TE
Sit Em SD
P. Rivers, QB
K. McCardell, WR
E. Parker, WR
M. Turner, RB
NO @ Dal
Start Em NO
D. Brees, QB
D. Henderson, WR
R. Bush, RB*
Sit Em NO
D. McAlister, RB
M. Colston, WR - Questionable, 'Non high ankle' High Ankle Sprain.
J. Horn, WR - OUT, Hammy-Groin
Start Em Dal
T. Romo, QB
T. Owens, WR
T. Glenn, WR
J. Witten, TE
M. Barber, RB
Sit Em Dal
J. Jones, RB
P. Crayton, WR
Mondays Game:
Chi @ Stl
Start Em Chi
T. Jones, RB
C. Benson, RB
Sit Em Chi
R. Grossman, QB(?)
B. Berrian, WR
M. Muhammad, WR
D. White, TE
Start Em StL
S. Jackson, RB
T. Holt, WR
Sit Em StL
M. Bulger, QB
I. Bruce, WR
K. Curtis, WR
Random TE Guy, TE
Tuesday, December 5, 2006
Commonwealth of the Land League update, for week 14
Well what an exciting week that was, with 3 games, the entire playoff picture is settled, making week 14 very very boring.
Just Giver: Won Week 13 - With a Wild Iguana loss, and dominating in the Division Wins tie breaker has won the division, making their annual week 14 battle, well, pointless.
Wild Iguanas: Lost Week 13 - Sat back all day, in great position, even with Trent throwing 4 tds ignoring Larry Johnson. Feeling safe with an easy 10 from Andre Johnson, watched his division championship dreams evaporate when Johnson caught one ball for 9 yards. The Iguanas should have the Wild Card locked up.
Team in a Box: Lost Week 13- Had the world by the balls. He could have really screwed up the whole play off picture. The Furious Fighting Figs weren't going to have any of that. Led by Ladell Betts and Santana Moss, he dashed the Box's playoff dreams by handing the loss that TIAB couldn't have to make the post season. With Just Giver winning, and TIAB losing to the Iguanas in week 11, has eliminated himself from playoff contention.
Suddenly the most exciting races in the league are for the draft picks for next year. Grid Iron leads the race for the number one pick in the draft with 3 wins, Filthy Whores is in second with 4 wins. Then there is a hodge-podge of teams bunched up 5 wins. These include The Stunners, Motown Madness, Mad Blue Bombers, and the fallen from grace, SoCal Bears. The Furious Fighting Figs can add to the mess with a loss, as they sit at 6 wins on the year. Team in a Box is sitting comfortably in the 8th drafting position.
After this week the draft order for the top 8 will be set. The last 4 will be set upon completion of the Championship Tournament.
Just Giver: Won Week 13 - With a Wild Iguana loss, and dominating in the Division Wins tie breaker has won the division, making their annual week 14 battle, well, pointless.
Wild Iguanas: Lost Week 13 - Sat back all day, in great position, even with Trent throwing 4 tds ignoring Larry Johnson. Feeling safe with an easy 10 from Andre Johnson, watched his division championship dreams evaporate when Johnson caught one ball for 9 yards. The Iguanas should have the Wild Card locked up.
Team in a Box: Lost Week 13- Had the world by the balls. He could have really screwed up the whole play off picture. The Furious Fighting Figs weren't going to have any of that. Led by Ladell Betts and Santana Moss, he dashed the Box's playoff dreams by handing the loss that TIAB couldn't have to make the post season. With Just Giver winning, and TIAB losing to the Iguanas in week 11, has eliminated himself from playoff contention.
Suddenly the most exciting races in the league are for the draft picks for next year. Grid Iron leads the race for the number one pick in the draft with 3 wins, Filthy Whores is in second with 4 wins. Then there is a hodge-podge of teams bunched up 5 wins. These include The Stunners, Motown Madness, Mad Blue Bombers, and the fallen from grace, SoCal Bears. The Furious Fighting Figs can add to the mess with a loss, as they sit at 6 wins on the year. Team in a Box is sitting comfortably in the 8th drafting position.
After this week the draft order for the top 8 will be set. The last 4 will be set upon completion of the Championship Tournament.
Monday, December 4, 2006
Week 14 Start Em / Sit Em
Week 14. Make or Break week for Fantasy Football. Many of you are in the playoffs. Many are out, and some, like me in some leagues, need a win this week to get in. This week is very important to many people this week. So without further adieu, lets get on with the predictions.
Thursday's Game:
Cle @ Pit
Start 'Em Cle
K. Winslow, TE
B. Edwards, WR
Sit 'Em Cle
C. Frye, QB - Questionable/Out Wrist
Backup QB Guy, QB - Questionable, Talent
R. Droughns, RB
J. Wright, RB
D. Northcutt, WR
On Thursday Night the Browns roll into Pittsburgh to face the Steelers. When they get there they'll be playing without starting quarterback Charlie Frye. He injured his wrist last week vs. the Chiefs. He hasn't practiced all week, and with the short week, he probably won't play. Frye's backup, Derek Andersen would take the helm of the Brown's offense. Derek himself is not a useful start in fantasy leagues, but after his comeback win against the Chiefs, some of his supporting cast may be useful. The Steelers have one of the better rush defenses in the league so that makes the running backs unusable. Also, Droughns and Wright will continue to split time, negating each others value. One place that could be harvested for fantasy value, are the Cleveland Wide Receivers and Tight Ends. Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow make excellent plays this week against a soft Pittsburgh pass defense. If there is a way to beat the Steeler's it is through the air. The benefit the Browns have is that they have a new Quarterback getting his second action of the year. Damon Huard and Tony Romo come to mind as successful quarterbacks that took off with a week of practice. The Steelers haven't been giving up many points to quarterbacks, but they have been giving up plenty of points to wide outs and tight ends all year. It doesn't help Pittsburgh's cause, with Troy Palomalu out for the game.
Start 'Em Pit
W. Parker, RB
S. Holmes, WR
H. Miller, TE
Sit 'Em Pit
B. Roethlesberger, QB
H. Ward, WR -Out Knee
N. Washington, WR
Willie Parker had been trying to establish himself as a stud running back in fantasy football. Owners began to pick up on one little flaw in his game. He was only productive at home. That streak came to an end last week versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Parker put up poor numbers at home against a relatively strong rush defense. This week Parker shouldn't have the problem with the strong defense. Cleveland is more known for its pass defense than it's run defense. Larry Johnson ran effectively last week against the Browns. He didn't score a TD, but that was more because Trent Green was tossing TDs from all over the field. LJ scores most of his TDs inside the 10 yard line. Look for Parker to put up good numbers this week. As for the Steelers passing game, stay far away from it. Hines Ward is out for the game, after undergoing knee surgery last week. His replacements aren't too special. Santonio Holmes may be the best option if you need a replacement for Ward. Washington may be the one that gets the most looks, but he has established that he has a problem catching the ball. Heath Miller is a must start in all tight end mandatory league, especially with Ward out as Big Ben needs a safety valve. Speaking of Big Ben, He is a quarterback you definitely want to stay away from. He has been brutal this year. He is wildly inconsistent, and throws far too many interceptions to be relied upon from a fantasy perspective. Cleveland can be passed against, but I would bet they try and refocus on the run this week.
Sunday's Games:
Thursday's Game:
Cle @ Pit
Start 'Em Cle
K. Winslow, TE
B. Edwards, WR
Sit 'Em Cle
C. Frye, QB - Questionable/Out Wrist
Backup QB Guy, QB - Questionable, Talent
R. Droughns, RB
J. Wright, RB
D. Northcutt, WR
On Thursday Night the Browns roll into Pittsburgh to face the Steelers. When they get there they'll be playing without starting quarterback Charlie Frye. He injured his wrist last week vs. the Chiefs. He hasn't practiced all week, and with the short week, he probably won't play. Frye's backup, Derek Andersen would take the helm of the Brown's offense. Derek himself is not a useful start in fantasy leagues, but after his comeback win against the Chiefs, some of his supporting cast may be useful. The Steelers have one of the better rush defenses in the league so that makes the running backs unusable. Also, Droughns and Wright will continue to split time, negating each others value. One place that could be harvested for fantasy value, are the Cleveland Wide Receivers and Tight Ends. Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow make excellent plays this week against a soft Pittsburgh pass defense. If there is a way to beat the Steeler's it is through the air. The benefit the Browns have is that they have a new Quarterback getting his second action of the year. Damon Huard and Tony Romo come to mind as successful quarterbacks that took off with a week of practice. The Steelers haven't been giving up many points to quarterbacks, but they have been giving up plenty of points to wide outs and tight ends all year. It doesn't help Pittsburgh's cause, with Troy Palomalu out for the game.
Start 'Em Pit
W. Parker, RB
S. Holmes, WR
H. Miller, TE
Sit 'Em Pit
B. Roethlesberger, QB
H. Ward, WR -Out Knee
N. Washington, WR
Willie Parker had been trying to establish himself as a stud running back in fantasy football. Owners began to pick up on one little flaw in his game. He was only productive at home. That streak came to an end last week versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Parker put up poor numbers at home against a relatively strong rush defense. This week Parker shouldn't have the problem with the strong defense. Cleveland is more known for its pass defense than it's run defense. Larry Johnson ran effectively last week against the Browns. He didn't score a TD, but that was more because Trent Green was tossing TDs from all over the field. LJ scores most of his TDs inside the 10 yard line. Look for Parker to put up good numbers this week. As for the Steelers passing game, stay far away from it. Hines Ward is out for the game, after undergoing knee surgery last week. His replacements aren't too special. Santonio Holmes may be the best option if you need a replacement for Ward. Washington may be the one that gets the most looks, but he has established that he has a problem catching the ball. Heath Miller is a must start in all tight end mandatory league, especially with Ward out as Big Ben needs a safety valve. Speaking of Big Ben, He is a quarterback you definitely want to stay away from. He has been brutal this year. He is wildly inconsistent, and throws far too many interceptions to be relied upon from a fantasy perspective. Cleveland can be passed against, but I would bet they try and refocus on the run this week.
Sunday's Games:
Eikey's Used Car Lot
It is this time of year, that fantasy players have ridden their draft picks as far as they can. Now it's time to trade some of them, and look at a few players they should have either never picked up, or look to trade in before they fail completely. Welcome to my used car lot. This is obviously inspired by the lead off Gremlin, and how his lack of drivability may have cost me a chance at the fantasy playoffs this year.
David Carr, QB Houston Texans.
We all knew that David Carr and his offensive line sucked. That isn't news, or even new. We had a three year track record to work off for this. The change this year was that Andre Johnson was a top five receiver in the league for most of the year. That meant that Carr was at least serviceable enough to get Johnson a ball or two. In most games he was getting him eight or nine. Johnson was an every week start based on these events. Then Andre drove his 'David' Carr into Oakland. David broke down faster than a Pinto when you need to get your wife to the emergency room to deliver your kid. Johnson turned in a lovely one catch, nine yard performance. I don't know about your league, but in my league that counted for a brutal zero points. This stung even more needing a meager 10 points out of him to get into the playoffs. Adding further injury to insult, Marty Booker and Chris Chambers were sitting on my bench already with the points needed to guarantee my place in the playoffs.
All that said, what can we expect looking forward from the Gremlin and Johnson? Can they be trusted in your fantasy playoffs? How much of last weeks performance can be attributed to Oakland's better than advertised passing defense?
I'm going to go out on a limb, and suggest that they have one patch job left. Then the whole machine will fall apart and they will have to send the old Gremlin to the junk yard for another year. In week 14, the Texans get the Titans at home. The last time these two tangled, Carr threw at Johnson 19 times, completing 9. Johnson had 78 yards, and a touchdown. If he gets close to these numbers he should help teams get into their playoffs. After that.....
The Titans might be enough to send this Carr to the scrap heap. In week 15 the Texans get to drive out to Foxboro, and meet the Patriots. The Pats defense may be enough to blow their transmission, and flatten their tires. Perhaps even pour some sugar in their gas tank. Following the Patriots, the Texans get to push their broken down Gremlin back home and wait for the Colts to come in and dismantle them in week 16. The previous meeting between the Colts and the Texans, Carr threw at Johnson six times, resulting in 4 catches for 56 yards and a touchdown. Those are hardly championship winning numbers.
In summary, even with Andre Johnson driving the "David" Carr, it's a broken down model. You might get one more week of mileage out of it, and then your best bet is to park it for the year. Perhaps you can even spend all spring and summer working on Andre Johnson, and build him up like I have been doing for the last two - three years. This year he finally paid off - for most of the season. We'll have to see what upgrades Gary Kubiak throws on this team in the off season. If he does some serious work on the front end, and if Dominick Davis comes back to help the rear end, The Texans car might be one to look at again. Even if it is a "David" model, or they roll out the new "Quinn 1.0".
Carnell "Cadillac" Williams
Carnell "Cadillac" Williams was a consensus first round pick in many drafts last fall. He was the "Rookie of the Year" in 2005, and showed all the flashes you hoped from a first round fantasy guy. Most importantly, he was a Cadillac. Or was he?
Of all the first round busts this year, (and there have been plenty). Cadillac has been right up there, front and center in many people's minds. He has performed so well this year, many people have changed his nickname from "Cadillac" to "Yugo", or "Escort" or any of the other fabulous clunkers that we have grown to know and love over the years. Paul Charcian of Fantasy Football Weekly on KFAN first used the "Yugo" term, so for now I'm going with the "Escort" name.
Escort has been brutal this season. He only has two 100 yard rushing games, and one touchdown on the year. So far his rushing total is a mere 724 yards, averaging out to 60 per game.
Some of that effort can attributed to his features. He was working with a banged up front end for much of the year. His engine Chrissy Simms was brutal early, and then broke down completely when he ruptured his spleen. The replacement parts haven't been helpful either. Bruce Gradkowski looked promising early. However, once teams got some film on him, he has looked filthy as of late. This is allowing teams to shut down the run again. When Williams does get a chance to redeem some value, Escort gets replaced with the 'Mack Truck' known as Mike Alstott at the goal line. Alstott is one of the best players in the league to snipe touchdowns. That is, when Gradkowski can sputter his offense down the field that close.
What does this mean for Escort in the off season and in 2007? When the Escort gets pulled into the garage for the year for work, what can we expect to get rebuilt? Mike Alstott is constantly pondering retirement. This move allow would help Williams' value heading into 2007. Some reports out of Tampa also have Jon Gruden leaving Tampa this year. This move would cause some chaos in the garage, and may or may not help Williams value. First we have to see if it even happens. As with any beauty, especially Cadillacs, all the value starts with the front end. If Tampa doesn't do any work on its aging offensive line, then Williams really doesn't stand much of a chance to regain the moniker 'Cadillac' into 2007.
Brian "The Rabbit" Westbrook
Not every one remembers the old Volkswagen Rabbit, ( I hear they are bringing it back). For the sake of this article I'm going to drag out the nickname of Brian Westbrook. The Rabbit. He has been one of the most productive running backs in fantasy football this year. However, he has also been one of the more fragile ones in recent history. This year he has battled nagging injuries, and in the last few years he has broken down completely. Last year when Donovan McNabb got hurt, the Old Rabbit died completely. What does this year hold for our little beast?
When McNabb went down in week 11 Westbrook picked up his second game with 20 rushing attempts. The first came the week before against the Redskins following their week 9 bye. Week 12 was his third 20 carry game in a row. There was concern at this point that the old Rabbit would break down in Week 13 against the swarming Carolina defense. Julius Peppers and his aggressive defensive friends would be keying on Westbrook and daring Jeff Garcia to beat them, which coincidentally, he did. Westbrook had 16 carries for 68 yards, and 6 catches for 56 yards, and a touchdown. It looks like he made it through that game without too much damage.
Looking ahead into the fantasy playoffs, will he be helpful? Will he stay healthy? Week 14 Westbrook rolls into Washington, which should lend to putting up good fantasy numbers for owners. Then the wheels come off this crazy thing. Assuming Westbrook manages to stay healthy, the Eagles and Westbrook then roll into the Meadowlands, and then head down to Dallas for weeks 15 and 16. Both of those teams are not known for allowing running backs to score very many points against them. The only saving grace is that the Giants may have utterly collapsed by then, and the Eagles could still be playing for a playoff spot. If this is this case, then Westbrook is still a safe start. The game in Dallas, he is a very shaky start regardless. Dallas has a very solid run defense.
Looking ahead to 2007, if The Rabbit can get to the garage in decent shape, without getting too banged up, he will be in great positition to be a top 10 running back in fantasy drafts. The reason he hasn't been up to this point is that he hasn't proven that he can stay healthy. If he plays 14-15 games this year, with his nagging knee injury all year, I'll anoint him a legit top 10 back. I was high on him into this year, and watching most of the consensus top 10 backs bust out this year, I'll put my trust in a Rabbit before I put it in a Cadillac.
Honorable Mention:
Cleo Lemon - He's just a backup in Miami, but he did get mop-up duty on Thanksgiving day. I just thought it would be nice to mention one of the unmentionables, for a change.
David Carr, QB Houston Texans.
We all knew that David Carr and his offensive line sucked. That isn't news, or even new. We had a three year track record to work off for this. The change this year was that Andre Johnson was a top five receiver in the league for most of the year. That meant that Carr was at least serviceable enough to get Johnson a ball or two. In most games he was getting him eight or nine. Johnson was an every week start based on these events. Then Andre drove his 'David' Carr into Oakland. David broke down faster than a Pinto when you need to get your wife to the emergency room to deliver your kid. Johnson turned in a lovely one catch, nine yard performance. I don't know about your league, but in my league that counted for a brutal zero points. This stung even more needing a meager 10 points out of him to get into the playoffs. Adding further injury to insult, Marty Booker and Chris Chambers were sitting on my bench already with the points needed to guarantee my place in the playoffs.
All that said, what can we expect looking forward from the Gremlin and Johnson? Can they be trusted in your fantasy playoffs? How much of last weeks performance can be attributed to Oakland's better than advertised passing defense?
I'm going to go out on a limb, and suggest that they have one patch job left. Then the whole machine will fall apart and they will have to send the old Gremlin to the junk yard for another year. In week 14, the Texans get the Titans at home. The last time these two tangled, Carr threw at Johnson 19 times, completing 9. Johnson had 78 yards, and a touchdown. If he gets close to these numbers he should help teams get into their playoffs. After that.....
The Titans might be enough to send this Carr to the scrap heap. In week 15 the Texans get to drive out to Foxboro, and meet the Patriots. The Pats defense may be enough to blow their transmission, and flatten their tires. Perhaps even pour some sugar in their gas tank. Following the Patriots, the Texans get to push their broken down Gremlin back home and wait for the Colts to come in and dismantle them in week 16. The previous meeting between the Colts and the Texans, Carr threw at Johnson six times, resulting in 4 catches for 56 yards and a touchdown. Those are hardly championship winning numbers.
In summary, even with Andre Johnson driving the "David" Carr, it's a broken down model. You might get one more week of mileage out of it, and then your best bet is to park it for the year. Perhaps you can even spend all spring and summer working on Andre Johnson, and build him up like I have been doing for the last two - three years. This year he finally paid off - for most of the season. We'll have to see what upgrades Gary Kubiak throws on this team in the off season. If he does some serious work on the front end, and if Dominick Davis comes back to help the rear end, The Texans car might be one to look at again. Even if it is a "David" model, or they roll out the new "Quinn 1.0".
Carnell "Cadillac" Williams
Carnell "Cadillac" Williams was a consensus first round pick in many drafts last fall. He was the "Rookie of the Year" in 2005, and showed all the flashes you hoped from a first round fantasy guy. Most importantly, he was a Cadillac. Or was he?
Of all the first round busts this year, (and there have been plenty). Cadillac has been right up there, front and center in many people's minds. He has performed so well this year, many people have changed his nickname from "Cadillac" to "Yugo", or "Escort" or any of the other fabulous clunkers that we have grown to know and love over the years. Paul Charcian of Fantasy Football Weekly on KFAN first used the "Yugo" term, so for now I'm going with the "Escort" name.
Escort has been brutal this season. He only has two 100 yard rushing games, and one touchdown on the year. So far his rushing total is a mere 724 yards, averaging out to 60 per game.
Some of that effort can attributed to his features. He was working with a banged up front end for much of the year. His engine Chrissy Simms was brutal early, and then broke down completely when he ruptured his spleen. The replacement parts haven't been helpful either. Bruce Gradkowski looked promising early. However, once teams got some film on him, he has looked filthy as of late. This is allowing teams to shut down the run again. When Williams does get a chance to redeem some value, Escort gets replaced with the 'Mack Truck' known as Mike Alstott at the goal line. Alstott is one of the best players in the league to snipe touchdowns. That is, when Gradkowski can sputter his offense down the field that close.
What does this mean for Escort in the off season and in 2007? When the Escort gets pulled into the garage for the year for work, what can we expect to get rebuilt? Mike Alstott is constantly pondering retirement. This move allow would help Williams' value heading into 2007. Some reports out of Tampa also have Jon Gruden leaving Tampa this year. This move would cause some chaos in the garage, and may or may not help Williams value. First we have to see if it even happens. As with any beauty, especially Cadillacs, all the value starts with the front end. If Tampa doesn't do any work on its aging offensive line, then Williams really doesn't stand much of a chance to regain the moniker 'Cadillac' into 2007.
Brian "The Rabbit" Westbrook
Not every one remembers the old Volkswagen Rabbit, ( I hear they are bringing it back). For the sake of this article I'm going to drag out the nickname of Brian Westbrook. The Rabbit. He has been one of the most productive running backs in fantasy football this year. However, he has also been one of the more fragile ones in recent history. This year he has battled nagging injuries, and in the last few years he has broken down completely. Last year when Donovan McNabb got hurt, the Old Rabbit died completely. What does this year hold for our little beast?
When McNabb went down in week 11 Westbrook picked up his second game with 20 rushing attempts. The first came the week before against the Redskins following their week 9 bye. Week 12 was his third 20 carry game in a row. There was concern at this point that the old Rabbit would break down in Week 13 against the swarming Carolina defense. Julius Peppers and his aggressive defensive friends would be keying on Westbrook and daring Jeff Garcia to beat them, which coincidentally, he did. Westbrook had 16 carries for 68 yards, and 6 catches for 56 yards, and a touchdown. It looks like he made it through that game without too much damage.
Looking ahead into the fantasy playoffs, will he be helpful? Will he stay healthy? Week 14 Westbrook rolls into Washington, which should lend to putting up good fantasy numbers for owners. Then the wheels come off this crazy thing. Assuming Westbrook manages to stay healthy, the Eagles and Westbrook then roll into the Meadowlands, and then head down to Dallas for weeks 15 and 16. Both of those teams are not known for allowing running backs to score very many points against them. The only saving grace is that the Giants may have utterly collapsed by then, and the Eagles could still be playing for a playoff spot. If this is this case, then Westbrook is still a safe start. The game in Dallas, he is a very shaky start regardless. Dallas has a very solid run defense.
Looking ahead to 2007, if The Rabbit can get to the garage in decent shape, without getting too banged up, he will be in great positition to be a top 10 running back in fantasy drafts. The reason he hasn't been up to this point is that he hasn't proven that he can stay healthy. If he plays 14-15 games this year, with his nagging knee injury all year, I'll anoint him a legit top 10 back. I was high on him into this year, and watching most of the consensus top 10 backs bust out this year, I'll put my trust in a Rabbit before I put it in a Cadillac.
Honorable Mention:
Cleo Lemon - He's just a backup in Miami, but he did get mop-up duty on Thanksgiving day. I just thought it would be nice to mention one of the unmentionables, for a change.
Wednesday, November 29, 2006
Weekly Mailbag.
Well two weeks into this little bit of chaos of a hobby/addiction I think I'm ready to start opening myself up to a question or two if there is anyone out there passing by that has a specific question on their rosters that I can try and help with.
I'll answer most of the questions I get, as quick as I can, until I start to get swamped. I'll even take the better ones and make an article here on my site Friday or Saturday.
The address I can be reached at is the one in my profile, eikey1729@sbcglobal.net Please, do not hesitate to ask. I love talking this stuff, and I love helping out my fellow fantasy football player even more. If you are in my leagues... I don't care. If you can use my info and beat me, so be it.
So bring on those questions! I want to see if I'm as good at this stuff as I think I am.
I'll answer most of the questions I get, as quick as I can, until I start to get swamped. I'll even take the better ones and make an article here on my site Friday or Saturday.
The address I can be reached at is the one in my profile, eikey1729@sbcglobal.net Please, do not hesitate to ask. I love talking this stuff, and I love helping out my fellow fantasy football player even more. If you are in my leagues... I don't care. If you can use my info and beat me, so be it.
So bring on those questions! I want to see if I'm as good at this stuff as I think I am.
Start 'Em Sit 'Em Week 13
Here we go again! Week 13. Game by Game who to start, who to sit analysis of your NFL action.
Remember, there are now Thursday night games every week from now until the end of the year. I'll try to get that Thursday night game done every Wednesday, and the rest of the games done at least a day before hand.
On with the fun!
Thursday night:
Bal @ Cin
Start 'Em Balt
S. McNair, QB
J. Lewis, RB
M. Clayton, WR
T. Heap, TE
Sit 'Em Balt
D. Mason, WR
D. Wilcox, TE
Since the firing of Jim Fassel the Baltimore offense has really taken off, scoring no less than 24 points per game. Jamal Lewis has also shown a resurgence in production in this time. Which bodes well this week against the Bengals who are among the league worst in giving up fantasy points to running backs. Look for Jamal to continue his hot streak on Thursday night. The most promising aspect of this offensive turn around is that Steve McNair has been able to find a receiver other than safety valve Todd Heap. Mark Clayton has emerged in recent weeks as a legitimate threat in fantasy circles to score, week in, week out. The only downside is that with the emergence of Clayton, and the constant reliance on Heap, is that reduces the venerable one, Derrick Mason, and his role in the offense. He still show flashes and scores points, but if you have better options this week, look to use them. Daniel Wilcox is a back up tight end, that should only be used when Heap is actually out, rather than just pretending to be injured. Heap is one of the leading offenders of the 'Questionable on Wednesday, but plays'. If you have Heap and Wilcox, you have to watch the pregame deactivations for which to start. If Heap is healthy, Wilcox has little fantasy value.
Start 'Em Cincy
C. Palmer, QB
C. Johnson, WR
TJ Championship, WR
Sit 'Em Cincy
R. Johnson, RB
C. Henry, WR
R. Kelly, TE (not the rapper)
Cincinnati has been one of the more unpredictable teams this year. As of late they have been one of the more flashy offensive teams on the field. Chad Johnson has been unbelievable the last three weeks, while being shut out of the end zone last week against Cleveland. His receiver friends picked up the slack in the touchdown department, with Chris Henry scoring twice, and TJ Whosyourmama scoring once. All three of the receivers put up nice yardage against the Browns, with Palmer leading the way. This week they get a very stiff defense in the Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore is very good against the run, which makes you leave Running Rudi on the bench this week. In fact, Baltimore is the best in the NFL in giving up fantasy points to running backs. They only give up an average of 8.25 points per game, and have only surrendered 2 rushing tds all year. If you are going to beat the Ravens you have to do it through the air. The Ravens have been a little more lenient through the air. They have given up 9 tds to Wide Receivers so far, through 11 games. While the odds aren't good that CJ, or TJ will score, they are too good to leave on the bench. Last week I was questioning TJ's health, but after last week's performance, he looks fine. Palmer is an iffy start against that vaunted Baltimore Defense, but if I'm starting two WRs, you may as well give their QB a shot as well. If you got fed up with Palmer earlier in the year, and were able to track down a capable back up, you may want to give him a look as well. Cincy doesn't really have a tight end to speak of, so I won't. Chris Henry doesn't get a nod this week, because of the Baltimore defense, not from any lack of his involvement in the Bengal offense. Look at your roster if your options warrant taking a chance on him. On a Sunday game, you could flip a coin on him, with the Thursday night game, I'd leave him out and take the chance on someone else.
Sunday Games: (Note: due to the weather system going through the Michigan area this weekend, I'm getting my butt kicked by migraines. I'm trying to write through it, but concentration is an issue. The picks are solid, I just don't have the focus today (Saturday) to write up the explanations. Hopefully they will all be in before you need to set your lineups on Sunday morning. I apologize to those that may be waiting for the explanations.)
Arz @ StL
Start 'Em Arz:
M. Leinart, QB
L. Fitzgerald, WR
A. Boldin, WR
Sit 'Em Arz:
E. James, RB
L. Pope, TE
This week the Cardinals get the Rams. One of the worst fantasy rush defenses in the league. The Rams give up, on average, 150 rushing yards and a TD a game. So you may be asking why do I have James on the Bench? Easy. I don't trust him, and his line. I don't think he's going to get to 100 yards. The Cards are a pass first team with Leinart and his boys, Fitzgerald and Boldin. The Rams actually have a decent pass defense, and may stimey the Cardinal passing game. Denny Green would be smart to run run run all day, however, I just don't think their line can get the job done. It'll be an interesting day indeed. If you are one of those that took James in the first round, kept him, and have been itching to use him, go ahead this week, this will be the last time all year it will be a decent play.
Start 'Em StL:
T. Holt, WR
S. Jackson, RB
I. Bruce, WR
M. Bulger, QB
Sit 'Em StL:
None
This week I feel that the Rams will snap out of their funk. The Rams have been decent on offense the last few weeks. Steven Jackson has been great and unbenchable the last few weeks. He has been catching plenty of balls out of the backfield, helping in the passing game. The biggest news was that Marc Bulger was suffering from bruised ribs the last few ribs, which was probably the reason his stats were suffering. Enter the Cardinals the defense, the cure for what ails ya. The Cardinals defense is brutal. It allowed Brad Freaking Johnson to throw 3 tds last week, and pretend he was a real quarterback. Steven Jackson should have a field day, Torry Holt should snap out of his funk and put up numbers the resemble the top 5 WR that he is, and even Issac Bruce should be serviceable. Start your top flight Rams with confidence this week.
Atl @ Was
Start 'Em Atl:
M. Vick, QB
W. Dunn, RB
A. Crumpler, TE
Sit 'Em Atl:
All Falcons WRs
J. Norwood, RB
Contrary to popular belief, (my belief included), is that Michael Vick is a serviceable fantasy football quarterback. He doesn't pass worth two beans in a pot, but he runs better than most of the top fantasy runners, including a running back on his team that everyone loves, named Warrick Dunn. Last week he put up 160 yards on the ground, which in most leagues is worth 4 passing tds. This week, the Redskins aren't that great of a defense, and Vick alone can probably rip them up. Win the game? Fantasy players don't care about that. "Playoffs?!!? Who said anything about Playoffs?!? I just hope we can win a game!" - Jim Mora. While Mora also said that Vick may be a 'Coach Killer', on a fantasy team, he may be able to carry your team to the playoffs. Helping Vick carry your team to the playoffs this week will be Warrick Dunn, and Alge Crumpler. Dunn is the only legitimate running back on this team. Norwood doesn't get the carries to warrant fantasy consideration. While he may tear one off to make you say 'Why didn't I start him!' He isn't consistent enough to trust. Crumpler is the only receiver on the Falcons team that can actually catch a Michael Vick pass, and is a weekly 'must start'. You leave the Falcon receivers on the bench, and perhaps the waiver wire, as was exhibited last week, they simply can't catch. Don't give them a chance to drop your chance at winning this week.
Start 'Em Was:
L. Betts, RB
C. Cooley, TE
S. Moss, WR
Sit 'Em Was:
J. Campbell, QB
TJ Duckett, RB
B. Lloyd, WR
Betts, good running option. Atl is weak rushing Defense.
Cooley has become Campbell's safety valve.
Moss is a play-maker that is a great play every week he's healthy.
Campbell just isn't good enough yet to warrant fantasy consideration.
Duckett and Lloyd, backups that don't need consideration.
Det @ N E
Start 'Em Det:
R. Williams, WR
Sit 'Em Det:
K. Jones, RB
J. Kitna, QB
M. Furrey, WR
Williams is the real playmaker on this team. Berrian caught good numbers against the Pats.
Jones is sore, and I wouldn't start him 100% against the Pats, Don't start him today.
Kitna has been brutal lately, In a bad weather day don't expect much from him.
Furrey, I just can't expect much from him.
Start 'Em N E:
T. Brady, QB
C. Dillion, RB
L. Maroney, RB
R. Caldwell, WR
B. Watson, TE
Sit 'Em N E:
Other WRs
Start them all, Detroit is bad on defense. It should be a Tom Brady surgical dissection.
The Patriots WRs other than Reche Caldwell are unstartable, due to the way Brady spreads it around.
Ind @ Ten
Start 'Em Ind:
P. Manning, QB
J. Addai, RB
R. Wayne, WR
M. Harrison, WR
B. Utecht, TE
Sit 'Em Ind:
D. Rhodes, RB
D. Clark, TE - OUT injury
Colts are good. Start them all.
Rhodes is out as the relevant RB in Indy, leave him on your bench.
Start 'Em Ten:
T. Henry, RB
V. Young, QB (?)
Sit 'Em Ten:
B. Scaife, TE
C. Brown, RB
L. White, RB
All Titan WRs
Tennesee is a hard team to read. If you can avoid them, I would.
Henry should have a good game against a bad rushing defense in the Colts. But he has a healthy track record of going off against great defenses, and disappearing against soft defenses. I'd just stay away from all Titans this week.
KC @ Cle
Start 'Em KC:
L. Johnson, RBeast
T. Green, QB
T. Gonzalez, TE
S. Parker, WR
Sit 'Em KC:
E. Kennison, WR
M. Bennett, RB
J. Dunn, TE
This should be a blow out.
You know to start Johnson every week.
Green should be back to form, and looking to take advantage of a defense that Carson Palmer ripped up last week.
Gonzo is healthy enough this week, and will reclaim his spot as the teams leading receiver.
Parker is, again, a sneaky play. He is the receiver that can catch on this team.
Start 'Em Cle:
K. Winslow, TE
Sit 'Em Cle:
B. Edwards, WR
C. Frye, QB
R. Droughns, RB
J. Wright, RB
D. Northcutt, WR
K. Winslow is a must start TE every week.
B. Edwards is usually a good start. Reports are that he may be punished in this game for his tirade against Charlie Frye last week. Even if the Coach doesn't punish him, Frye might. I'd leave him on the bench this week if you can, and see how this shakes out.
The rest of the team is worthless.
Droughns is rumored to be benched this week in favor of J. Wright. They are fed up with Ruebens bad stats in his tenure, and they want to get a look at their rookies. Leave your Brown backs on the bench until a clear cut leader emerges.
Min @ Chi
Start 'Em Min:
C. Taylor, RB
Sit 'Em Min:
B. Johnson, QB
M. Robinson, WR
J. Wiggins, TE
T. Taylor, WR
T. Williamson, WR
If I were a lazier man I would copy and past last weeks explanation from New England explanation, and use it this week. However I'm not that lazy. The sad thing is, the game plan doesn't change much. Chester Taylor is still the focal point of the Vikings offense. The Bears can still be beaten with the run, and Brad Johnson isn't going to beat anyone beside the Cardinals through the air. You start Chester Taylor, and sit the Vikings passing game this week. If they do something this week against the Bears, then you can use them next week, and for the rest of your season into the fantasy playoffs.
Start 'Em Chi:
T. Jones, RB (?)
B. Berrian, WR
Sit 'Em Chi:
R. Grossman, QB
M. Muhammad, WR
D. Clark, TE
C. Benson, RB
In this game, the Bears are looking at square in the eye of the number one rushing defense in the league. Thomas Jones doesn't make a great start this week, but the Bears could be a little more stubborn than most in the run game. This week Pat Williams may be limited which helps his possibilities, if you have a better option go with it. Cedric Benson is a bench. He opened his big yap again in the Chicago media and didn't lend himself well to his team. Chances are he'll not see much of the field this week, due to his comments. Bernard Berrian is the only play in the passing game from the Bears this week. The Vikings have shown they are brutal against the pass, however, Grossman has shown as of late that he isn't much better. Berrian is an option because he is the deep threat. The weather in Chicago Sunday is expected to be terrible, so expect a low scoring game. Bench your Bears if you got them, especially if you have better options.
NYJ @ GB
Start 'Em NYJ:
L. Coles, WR
J. Cotcherty, WR
C. Pennington, QB
L. Washington, RB
C. Baker, TE
Sit 'Em NYJ:
K. Barlow, RB
Green Bay is the worst pass defense in the league.
Start all of your Jets passing attackers with confidence.
The running back situation is a mess with Houston returning from injury. Leon Washington should be the clear cut starter, and should put up good numbers, but don't be surprised if this falls through.
Barlow tends to be the Goal line back, mucking things up further.
Start 'Em GB:
B. Favre, QB
D. Driver, WR
G. Jennings, WR
A. Green, RB
Sit 'Em GB:
N. Herron, RB
B. Franks, TE
The Jets aren't very good in pass defense either, and Number 4 is Number 4.
Jennings' ankle has healed. Driver and Jennings give Favre good down field targets to sling to.
A. Green makes a good play, as the Jets defense isn't too special, especially if the weather in the Meadowlands is a factor.
B. Franks has been reduced to a blocking TE and shouldn't be on rosters.
SD @ Buf
Start 'Em SD:
L. Tomlinson, RBeast
P. Rivers, QB
A. Gates, TE
Sit 'Em SD:
E. Parker, WR
K. McCardell, WR
M. Turner, RB - Out
Start 'Em Buf:
W. McGahee, RB
L. Evans, WR
Sit 'Em Buf:
JP Losman, QB
R. Parish, WR
A. Thomas, RB
SF @ NO
Start 'Em SF:
F. Gore, RB
A. Bryant, WR
Sit 'Em SF:
V. Davis, TE
A. Smith, QB
A. Battle, WR
Start 'Em NO:
D. Brees, QB
D. Henderson, WR
J. Horn, WR
D. McAlister, RB
Sit 'Em NO:
R. Bush, RB
M. Colston, WR -Ankle
T. Copper, WR -Ankle
Hou @ Oak
Start 'Em Hou:
A. Johnson, WR
Sit 'Em Hou:
D. Carr, QB
W. Lundy, RB
S. Gado, RB
E. Moulds, WR
O. Daniels, TE
Start 'Em Oak:
None
Sit 'Em Oak:
A. Brooks, QB
R. Moss, WR
J. Fargas, RB
Jax @ Mia
Start 'Em Jax:
M. Jones-Drew, RB
Sit 'Em Jax:
D. Garrard, QB
E. Willford, WR
M. Jones, WR
F. Taylor, WR
G. Wrightster, TE
M. Lewis, TE
Start 'Em Mia:
J. Harrington, QB
S. Morris, RB
M. Booker, WR
W. Welker, WR
M. McMichael, TE
Sit 'Em Mia:
C. Chambers, WR
R. Brown, RB - Out, Hand
Dal @ NYG
Start 'Em Dal:
T. Romo, QB
T. Owens, WR
M. Barber, RB
J, Witten, TE
Sit 'Em Dal:
J. Jones, RB
T. Glenn, WR
P. Crayton, WR
Start 'Em NYG:
T. Barber, RB
J. Shockey, TE
Sit 'Em NYG:
E. Manning, QB
P. Burress, WR
B. Jacobs, RB
T. Carter, WR
TB @ Pit
Start 'Em TB:
None
Sit 'Em TB:
C. Williams, RB
J. Galloway, WR
M. Clayton, WR
etc.
Start 'Em Pit:
W. Parker, RB
H. Miller, TE
Sit 'Em Pit:
B. Roethlesberger, QB
H. Ward, WR - OUT Knee Surgery
N. Washington, WR
Sea @ Den
Start 'Em Sea:
S. Alexander, RB
M. Hassleback, QB
D. Jackson, WR
D. Branch, WR
Sit 'Em Sea:
N. Burleson, WR
J. Stevens, TE
M. Morris, RB
Start 'Em Den:
J. Walker, WR
Sit 'Em Den:
J. Cutler, QB
J. Plummer, QB
T. Bell, RB
M. Bell, RB
R. Smith, WR
Monday Night
Car @ Phi
Start 'Em Car:
S. Smith, WR
D. Williams, RB
Sit 'Em Car:
J. Delhomme, QB
K. Johnson, WR
D. Foster, RB
K. Magnum, TE
Start 'Em Phi:
B. Westbrook, RB
D. Stallworth, WR
L. Smith, TE
Sit 'Em Phi:
J. Garcia, QB
R. Brown, WR
H. Baskett, WR
Explanations to follow soon....
Remember, there are now Thursday night games every week from now until the end of the year. I'll try to get that Thursday night game done every Wednesday, and the rest of the games done at least a day before hand.
On with the fun!
Thursday night:
Bal @ Cin
Start 'Em Balt
S. McNair, QB
J. Lewis, RB
M. Clayton, WR
T. Heap, TE
Sit 'Em Balt
D. Mason, WR
D. Wilcox, TE
Since the firing of Jim Fassel the Baltimore offense has really taken off, scoring no less than 24 points per game. Jamal Lewis has also shown a resurgence in production in this time. Which bodes well this week against the Bengals who are among the league worst in giving up fantasy points to running backs. Look for Jamal to continue his hot streak on Thursday night. The most promising aspect of this offensive turn around is that Steve McNair has been able to find a receiver other than safety valve Todd Heap. Mark Clayton has emerged in recent weeks as a legitimate threat in fantasy circles to score, week in, week out. The only downside is that with the emergence of Clayton, and the constant reliance on Heap, is that reduces the venerable one, Derrick Mason, and his role in the offense. He still show flashes and scores points, but if you have better options this week, look to use them. Daniel Wilcox is a back up tight end, that should only be used when Heap is actually out, rather than just pretending to be injured. Heap is one of the leading offenders of the 'Questionable on Wednesday, but plays'. If you have Heap and Wilcox, you have to watch the pregame deactivations for which to start. If Heap is healthy, Wilcox has little fantasy value.
Start 'Em Cincy
C. Palmer, QB
C. Johnson, WR
TJ Championship, WR
Sit 'Em Cincy
R. Johnson, RB
C. Henry, WR
R. Kelly, TE (not the rapper)
Cincinnati has been one of the more unpredictable teams this year. As of late they have been one of the more flashy offensive teams on the field. Chad Johnson has been unbelievable the last three weeks, while being shut out of the end zone last week against Cleveland. His receiver friends picked up the slack in the touchdown department, with Chris Henry scoring twice, and TJ Whosyourmama scoring once. All three of the receivers put up nice yardage against the Browns, with Palmer leading the way. This week they get a very stiff defense in the Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore is very good against the run, which makes you leave Running Rudi on the bench this week. In fact, Baltimore is the best in the NFL in giving up fantasy points to running backs. They only give up an average of 8.25 points per game, and have only surrendered 2 rushing tds all year. If you are going to beat the Ravens you have to do it through the air. The Ravens have been a little more lenient through the air. They have given up 9 tds to Wide Receivers so far, through 11 games. While the odds aren't good that CJ, or TJ will score, they are too good to leave on the bench. Last week I was questioning TJ's health, but after last week's performance, he looks fine. Palmer is an iffy start against that vaunted Baltimore Defense, but if I'm starting two WRs, you may as well give their QB a shot as well. If you got fed up with Palmer earlier in the year, and were able to track down a capable back up, you may want to give him a look as well. Cincy doesn't really have a tight end to speak of, so I won't. Chris Henry doesn't get a nod this week, because of the Baltimore defense, not from any lack of his involvement in the Bengal offense. Look at your roster if your options warrant taking a chance on him. On a Sunday game, you could flip a coin on him, with the Thursday night game, I'd leave him out and take the chance on someone else.
Sunday Games: (Note: due to the weather system going through the Michigan area this weekend, I'm getting my butt kicked by migraines. I'm trying to write through it, but concentration is an issue. The picks are solid, I just don't have the focus today (Saturday) to write up the explanations. Hopefully they will all be in before you need to set your lineups on Sunday morning. I apologize to those that may be waiting for the explanations.)
Arz @ StL
Start 'Em Arz:
M. Leinart, QB
L. Fitzgerald, WR
A. Boldin, WR
Sit 'Em Arz:
E. James, RB
L. Pope, TE
This week the Cardinals get the Rams. One of the worst fantasy rush defenses in the league. The Rams give up, on average, 150 rushing yards and a TD a game. So you may be asking why do I have James on the Bench? Easy. I don't trust him, and his line. I don't think he's going to get to 100 yards. The Cards are a pass first team with Leinart and his boys, Fitzgerald and Boldin. The Rams actually have a decent pass defense, and may stimey the Cardinal passing game. Denny Green would be smart to run run run all day, however, I just don't think their line can get the job done. It'll be an interesting day indeed. If you are one of those that took James in the first round, kept him, and have been itching to use him, go ahead this week, this will be the last time all year it will be a decent play.
Start 'Em StL:
T. Holt, WR
S. Jackson, RB
I. Bruce, WR
M. Bulger, QB
Sit 'Em StL:
None
This week I feel that the Rams will snap out of their funk. The Rams have been decent on offense the last few weeks. Steven Jackson has been great and unbenchable the last few weeks. He has been catching plenty of balls out of the backfield, helping in the passing game. The biggest news was that Marc Bulger was suffering from bruised ribs the last few ribs, which was probably the reason his stats were suffering. Enter the Cardinals the defense, the cure for what ails ya. The Cardinals defense is brutal. It allowed Brad Freaking Johnson to throw 3 tds last week, and pretend he was a real quarterback. Steven Jackson should have a field day, Torry Holt should snap out of his funk and put up numbers the resemble the top 5 WR that he is, and even Issac Bruce should be serviceable. Start your top flight Rams with confidence this week.
Atl @ Was
Start 'Em Atl:
M. Vick, QB
W. Dunn, RB
A. Crumpler, TE
Sit 'Em Atl:
All Falcons WRs
J. Norwood, RB
Contrary to popular belief, (my belief included), is that Michael Vick is a serviceable fantasy football quarterback. He doesn't pass worth two beans in a pot, but he runs better than most of the top fantasy runners, including a running back on his team that everyone loves, named Warrick Dunn. Last week he put up 160 yards on the ground, which in most leagues is worth 4 passing tds. This week, the Redskins aren't that great of a defense, and Vick alone can probably rip them up. Win the game? Fantasy players don't care about that. "Playoffs?!!? Who said anything about Playoffs?!? I just hope we can win a game!" - Jim Mora. While Mora also said that Vick may be a 'Coach Killer', on a fantasy team, he may be able to carry your team to the playoffs. Helping Vick carry your team to the playoffs this week will be Warrick Dunn, and Alge Crumpler. Dunn is the only legitimate running back on this team. Norwood doesn't get the carries to warrant fantasy consideration. While he may tear one off to make you say 'Why didn't I start him!' He isn't consistent enough to trust. Crumpler is the only receiver on the Falcons team that can actually catch a Michael Vick pass, and is a weekly 'must start'. You leave the Falcon receivers on the bench, and perhaps the waiver wire, as was exhibited last week, they simply can't catch. Don't give them a chance to drop your chance at winning this week.
Start 'Em Was:
L. Betts, RB
C. Cooley, TE
S. Moss, WR
Sit 'Em Was:
J. Campbell, QB
TJ Duckett, RB
B. Lloyd, WR
Betts, good running option. Atl is weak rushing Defense.
Cooley has become Campbell's safety valve.
Moss is a play-maker that is a great play every week he's healthy.
Campbell just isn't good enough yet to warrant fantasy consideration.
Duckett and Lloyd, backups that don't need consideration.
Det @ N E
Start 'Em Det:
R. Williams, WR
Sit 'Em Det:
K. Jones, RB
J. Kitna, QB
M. Furrey, WR
Williams is the real playmaker on this team. Berrian caught good numbers against the Pats.
Jones is sore, and I wouldn't start him 100% against the Pats, Don't start him today.
Kitna has been brutal lately, In a bad weather day don't expect much from him.
Furrey, I just can't expect much from him.
Start 'Em N E:
T. Brady, QB
C. Dillion, RB
L. Maroney, RB
R. Caldwell, WR
B. Watson, TE
Sit 'Em N E:
Other WRs
Start them all, Detroit is bad on defense. It should be a Tom Brady surgical dissection.
The Patriots WRs other than Reche Caldwell are unstartable, due to the way Brady spreads it around.
Ind @ Ten
Start 'Em Ind:
P. Manning, QB
J. Addai, RB
R. Wayne, WR
M. Harrison, WR
B. Utecht, TE
Sit 'Em Ind:
D. Rhodes, RB
D. Clark, TE - OUT injury
Colts are good. Start them all.
Rhodes is out as the relevant RB in Indy, leave him on your bench.
Start 'Em Ten:
T. Henry, RB
V. Young, QB (?)
Sit 'Em Ten:
B. Scaife, TE
C. Brown, RB
L. White, RB
All Titan WRs
Tennesee is a hard team to read. If you can avoid them, I would.
Henry should have a good game against a bad rushing defense in the Colts. But he has a healthy track record of going off against great defenses, and disappearing against soft defenses. I'd just stay away from all Titans this week.
KC @ Cle
Start 'Em KC:
L. Johnson, RBeast
T. Green, QB
T. Gonzalez, TE
S. Parker, WR
Sit 'Em KC:
E. Kennison, WR
M. Bennett, RB
J. Dunn, TE
This should be a blow out.
You know to start Johnson every week.
Green should be back to form, and looking to take advantage of a defense that Carson Palmer ripped up last week.
Gonzo is healthy enough this week, and will reclaim his spot as the teams leading receiver.
Parker is, again, a sneaky play. He is the receiver that can catch on this team.
Start 'Em Cle:
K. Winslow, TE
Sit 'Em Cle:
B. Edwards, WR
C. Frye, QB
R. Droughns, RB
J. Wright, RB
D. Northcutt, WR
K. Winslow is a must start TE every week.
B. Edwards is usually a good start. Reports are that he may be punished in this game for his tirade against Charlie Frye last week. Even if the Coach doesn't punish him, Frye might. I'd leave him on the bench this week if you can, and see how this shakes out.
The rest of the team is worthless.
Droughns is rumored to be benched this week in favor of J. Wright. They are fed up with Ruebens bad stats in his tenure, and they want to get a look at their rookies. Leave your Brown backs on the bench until a clear cut leader emerges.
Min @ Chi
Start 'Em Min:
C. Taylor, RB
Sit 'Em Min:
B. Johnson, QB
M. Robinson, WR
J. Wiggins, TE
T. Taylor, WR
T. Williamson, WR
If I were a lazier man I would copy and past last weeks explanation from New England explanation, and use it this week. However I'm not that lazy. The sad thing is, the game plan doesn't change much. Chester Taylor is still the focal point of the Vikings offense. The Bears can still be beaten with the run, and Brad Johnson isn't going to beat anyone beside the Cardinals through the air. You start Chester Taylor, and sit the Vikings passing game this week. If they do something this week against the Bears, then you can use them next week, and for the rest of your season into the fantasy playoffs.
Start 'Em Chi:
T. Jones, RB (?)
B. Berrian, WR
Sit 'Em Chi:
R. Grossman, QB
M. Muhammad, WR
D. Clark, TE
C. Benson, RB
In this game, the Bears are looking at square in the eye of the number one rushing defense in the league. Thomas Jones doesn't make a great start this week, but the Bears could be a little more stubborn than most in the run game. This week Pat Williams may be limited which helps his possibilities, if you have a better option go with it. Cedric Benson is a bench. He opened his big yap again in the Chicago media and didn't lend himself well to his team. Chances are he'll not see much of the field this week, due to his comments. Bernard Berrian is the only play in the passing game from the Bears this week. The Vikings have shown they are brutal against the pass, however, Grossman has shown as of late that he isn't much better. Berrian is an option because he is the deep threat. The weather in Chicago Sunday is expected to be terrible, so expect a low scoring game. Bench your Bears if you got them, especially if you have better options.
NYJ @ GB
Start 'Em NYJ:
L. Coles, WR
J. Cotcherty, WR
C. Pennington, QB
L. Washington, RB
C. Baker, TE
Sit 'Em NYJ:
K. Barlow, RB
Green Bay is the worst pass defense in the league.
Start all of your Jets passing attackers with confidence.
The running back situation is a mess with Houston returning from injury. Leon Washington should be the clear cut starter, and should put up good numbers, but don't be surprised if this falls through.
Barlow tends to be the Goal line back, mucking things up further.
Start 'Em GB:
B. Favre, QB
D. Driver, WR
G. Jennings, WR
A. Green, RB
Sit 'Em GB:
N. Herron, RB
B. Franks, TE
The Jets aren't very good in pass defense either, and Number 4 is Number 4.
Jennings' ankle has healed. Driver and Jennings give Favre good down field targets to sling to.
A. Green makes a good play, as the Jets defense isn't too special, especially if the weather in the Meadowlands is a factor.
B. Franks has been reduced to a blocking TE and shouldn't be on rosters.
SD @ Buf
Start 'Em SD:
L. Tomlinson, RBeast
P. Rivers, QB
A. Gates, TE
Sit 'Em SD:
E. Parker, WR
K. McCardell, WR
M. Turner, RB - Out
Start 'Em Buf:
W. McGahee, RB
L. Evans, WR
Sit 'Em Buf:
JP Losman, QB
R. Parish, WR
A. Thomas, RB
SF @ NO
Start 'Em SF:
F. Gore, RB
A. Bryant, WR
Sit 'Em SF:
V. Davis, TE
A. Smith, QB
A. Battle, WR
Start 'Em NO:
D. Brees, QB
D. Henderson, WR
J. Horn, WR
D. McAlister, RB
Sit 'Em NO:
R. Bush, RB
M. Colston, WR -Ankle
T. Copper, WR -Ankle
Hou @ Oak
Start 'Em Hou:
A. Johnson, WR
Sit 'Em Hou:
D. Carr, QB
W. Lundy, RB
S. Gado, RB
E. Moulds, WR
O. Daniels, TE
Start 'Em Oak:
None
Sit 'Em Oak:
A. Brooks, QB
R. Moss, WR
J. Fargas, RB
Jax @ Mia
Start 'Em Jax:
M. Jones-Drew, RB
Sit 'Em Jax:
D. Garrard, QB
E. Willford, WR
M. Jones, WR
F. Taylor, WR
G. Wrightster, TE
M. Lewis, TE
Start 'Em Mia:
J. Harrington, QB
S. Morris, RB
M. Booker, WR
W. Welker, WR
M. McMichael, TE
Sit 'Em Mia:
C. Chambers, WR
R. Brown, RB - Out, Hand
Dal @ NYG
Start 'Em Dal:
T. Romo, QB
T. Owens, WR
M. Barber, RB
J, Witten, TE
Sit 'Em Dal:
J. Jones, RB
T. Glenn, WR
P. Crayton, WR
Start 'Em NYG:
T. Barber, RB
J. Shockey, TE
Sit 'Em NYG:
E. Manning, QB
P. Burress, WR
B. Jacobs, RB
T. Carter, WR
TB @ Pit
Start 'Em TB:
None
Sit 'Em TB:
C. Williams, RB
J. Galloway, WR
M. Clayton, WR
etc.
Start 'Em Pit:
W. Parker, RB
H. Miller, TE
Sit 'Em Pit:
B. Roethlesberger, QB
H. Ward, WR - OUT Knee Surgery
N. Washington, WR
Sea @ Den
Start 'Em Sea:
S. Alexander, RB
M. Hassleback, QB
D. Jackson, WR
D. Branch, WR
Sit 'Em Sea:
N. Burleson, WR
J. Stevens, TE
M. Morris, RB
Start 'Em Den:
J. Walker, WR
Sit 'Em Den:
J. Cutler, QB
J. Plummer, QB
T. Bell, RB
M. Bell, RB
R. Smith, WR
Monday Night
Car @ Phi
Start 'Em Car:
S. Smith, WR
D. Williams, RB
Sit 'Em Car:
J. Delhomme, QB
K. Johnson, WR
D. Foster, RB
K. Magnum, TE
Start 'Em Phi:
B. Westbrook, RB
D. Stallworth, WR
L. Smith, TE
Sit 'Em Phi:
J. Garcia, QB
R. Brown, WR
H. Baskett, WR
Explanations to follow soon....
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
